Week 7 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: October 17, 2016 in NFL

Vikings not begin #1 is ultimate shock but marginal difference, they have outperformed the Falcons on the season but because of their bye week they are still being weighed down by their preseason projection. Look for their ranking to jump up next week, if they play well. Panthers and Steelers both dropped a lot of spots this week as preseason projections lost their meaning for teams without bye weeks and the Panthers and Steelers haven’t looked great by any means. At least the Steelers have flashed potential but they did just lose big to Miami. One thing worthy of noting is that the odds to make playoffs/super bowl are based on the assumption that every team performs at the same level for the rest of the season-as we know teams can turn things around at any time and it is highly unlikely that teams perform at the same exact level for all 16 games. With that said a system that can account for volatility in team’s performances is not something I currently am capable of doing, so when looking at the odds to make playoffs no that they are probably a decent amount closer to 50% and the odds of making/winning the Super Bowl are probably more even across the board.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev. Movement
1 Atlanta Falcons 79.4% 12.0 85.0% 20.0% 12.3%              3                         2
2 Minnesota Vikings 79.2% 13.4 87.3% 30.1% 22.9%              1                      (1)
3 New England Patriots 74.5% 12.6 >99% 37.8% 17.1%              6                         3
4 Buffalo Bills 73.4% 11.7 >99% 25.9% 10.1%           10                         6
5 Dallas Cowboys 72.1% 11.8 83.0% 18.4% 11.4%              9                         4
6 Washington Redskins 71.9% 10.9 76.4% 11.6% 6.3%           15                         9
7 Green Bay Packers 67.2% 9.9 60.4% 6.1% 3.0%              2                      (5)
8 Philadelphia Eagles 65.6% 9.0 44.1% 3.2% 1.4%              5                      (3)
9 Arizona Cardinals 60.0% 8.5 34.5% 1.9% <1%           11                         2
10 Kansas City Chiefs 57.6% 9.8 71.2% 8.4% 2.7%           13                         3
11 Denver Broncos 57.5% 9.8 72.6% 8.5% 2.7%              7                      (4)
12 Seattle Seahawks 56.1% 9.7 56.9% 5.6% 2.8%           12                        –
13 Oakland Raiders 53.3% 9.6 67.0% 7.1% 2.2%              8                      (5)
14 San Diego Chargers 49.6% 7.4 20.5% <1% <1%           23                         9
15 Los Angeles Rams 48.8% 8.2 28.1% 1.4% <1%           18                         3
16 Pittsburgh Steelers 48.3% 9.3 60.5% 5.7% 1.7%              4                    (12)
17 New York Giants 47.2% 7.7 21.0% <1% <1%           17                        –
18 Detroit Lions 42.6% 6.9 10.2% <1% <1%           19                         1
19 Cincinnati Bengals 40.3% 6.6 10.2% <1% <1%           16                      (3)
20 Tennessee Titans 39.9% 7.8 27.6% 1.5% <1%           20                        –
21 Houston Texans 39.4% 8.6 43.2% 3.1% <1%           22                         1
22 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.5% 6.2 5.9% <1% <1%           25                         3
23 New Orleans Saints 37.8% 6.4 7.0% <1% <1%           26                         3
24 Miami Dolphins 36.9% 5.9 4.4% <1% <1%           30                         6
25 Indianapolis Colts 34.3% 5.8 4.0% <1% <1%           29                         4
26 Baltimore Ravens 31.1% 6.5 8.5% <1% <1%           21                      (5)
27 Carolina Panthers 29.6% 3.6 <1% <1% <1%           14                    (13)
28 New York Jets 29.2% 4.6 <1% <1% <1%           24                      (4)
29 Chicago Bears 28.4% 3.6 <1% <1% <1%           27                      (2)
30 Jacksonville Jaguars 27.0% 5.0 1.4% <1% <1%           31                         1
31 San Francisco 49ers 26.7% 4.0 <1% <1% <1%           28                      (3)
32 Cleveland Browns 25.6% 3.0 <1% <1% <1%           32                        –
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