2017 NCAA Tournament Odds

Posted: March 12, 2017 in NCAA

Please note that these odds are based on the rankings that can be found on the college basketball tab. These rankings are not reflective of any injuries. I am aware that some of the odds for Mid-Major teams may seem high and I will investigate how to better adjust for SOS in next year’s rankings. Without further ado:

Seed Team R32 S16 E8 F4 Championship Champion
1W Gonzaga 87% 70% 51% 38% 27% 18.7%
10S Wichita St. 69% 46% 30% 21% 14% 8.3%
1E Villanova 85% 57% 35% 21% 11% 6.5%
3MW Oregon 74% 47% 29% 17% 10% 4.9%
6E SMU 61% 40% 27% 16% 8% 4.7%
1MW Kansas 75% 50% 27% 15% 7% 3.4%
2S Kentucky 75% 34% 19% 12% 7% 3.3%
6S Cincinnati 71% 42% 20% 12% 7% 3.2%
1S North Carolina 74% 49% 28% 13% 7% 3.1%
4E Florida 63% 37% 19% 11% 5% 2.7%
7W Saint Mary’s 58% 34% 22% 10% 5% 2.6%
2MW Louisville 73% 41% 21% 11% 5% 2.3%
3S UCLA 73% 38% 17% 10% 5% 2.3%
2W Arizona 68% 34% 21% 9% 5% 2.3%
12S Middle Tennessee 62% 37% 21% 10% 5% 2.2%
4MW Purdue 52% 29% 17% 9% 4% 1.9%
2E Duke 66% 40% 19% 9% 4% 1.7%
12W Princeton 57% 30% 12% 6% 3% 1.5%
13MW Vermont 48% 26% 14% 7% 3% 1.5%
4W West Virginia 55% 29% 11% 6% 3% 1.5%
3W Florida St. 61% 37% 18% 7% 3% 1.4%
3E Baylor 60% 26% 14% 7% 3% 1.3%
11MW Rhode Island 55% 25% 13% 7% 3% 1.2%
7MW Michigan 53% 28% 13% 6% 3% 1.1%
5MW Iowa St. 51% 24% 13% 6% 3% 1.1%
11E Providence/USC 39% 21% 12% 6% 2% 1.1%
8E Wisconsin 61% 26% 12% 6% 2% 1.0%
5E Virginia 51% 24% 11% 5% 2% 1.0%
12MW Nevada 49% 22% 11% 5% 2% 0.9%
10W VCU 42% 21% 12% 4% 2% 0.9%
12E UNC Wilmington 49% 23% 10% 5% 2% 0.8%
13W Bucknell 45% 22% 8% 4% 2% 0.8%
4S Butler 54% 25% 12% 5% 2% 0.7%
10MW Oklahoma St. 47% 23% 10% 4% 2% 0.7%
7S Dayton 31% 14% 7% 3% 2% 0.6%
5W Notre Dame 43% 20% 7% 3% 1.4% 0.6%
6MW Creighton 45% 19% 9% 4% 2% 0.6%
10E Marquette 54% 26% 10% 4% 1.4% 0.5%
5S Minnesota 38% 19% 9% 3% 1.2% 0.4%
13S Winthrop 46% 20% 9% 3% 1.2% 0.4%
9MW Michigan St. 53% 22% 9% 3% 1.2% 0.4%
13E East Tennessee St. 37% 16% 7% 3% 1.0% 0.4%
8S Arkansas 53% 22% 10% 3% 1.2% 0.4%
9W Vanderbilt 55% 14% 6% 2% 1.0% 0.4%
6W Maryland 54% 24% 9% 3% 1.0% 0.3%
14E New Mexico St. 40% 14% 6% 2% 0.8% 0.3%
7E South Carolina 46% 20% 7% 3% 0.8% 0.3%
14W Florida Gulf Coast 39% 20% 7% 2% 0.7% 0.3%
9S Seton Hall 47% 19% 8% 2% 0.8% 0.3%
8MW Miami FL 47% 18% 7% 2% 0.8% 0.2%
11W Xavier 46% 19% 7% 2% 0.6% 0.2%
9E Virginia Tech 39% 13% 5% 2% 0.5% 0.2%
8W Northwestern 45% 10% 4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
15W North Dakota 32% 11% 5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.14%
15E Troy 34% 15% 5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.13%
11S Kansas St./Wake Forest 29% 11% 3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.12%
14MW Iona 26% 9% 3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.10%
16S Texas Southern 26% 10% 3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.05%
14S Kent St. 27% 8% 2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.05%
15MW Jacksonville St. 27% 9% 2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.05%
15S Northern Kentucky 25% 6% 2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.04%
16MW North Carolina Central/UC Davis 25% 10% 3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.04%
16W South Dakota St. 13% 5% 2% 0.5% 0.14% 0.04%
16E Mount St. Mary’s/New Orleans 15% 4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.04% 0.007%
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