2017 AFC East Outlook

Posted: August 29, 2017 in NFL
Buffalo Bills

The Bills finished last season 7-9 and missed the playoffs for the seventeenth straight year. The Bills fired head coach Rex Ryan during the season and hired Sean McDermott in January. McDermott previously served as the defensive coordinator for the Carolina Panthers. McDermott will have two new coordinators in Buffalo as well. Rick Dennison will lead the offense after spending the last two years with the Broncos. Leslie Frazier will join the Bills after spending last year as the Ravens secondary coach.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 10th Overall, 1st Rushing, 18th Passing

Defense – 27th Overall, 30th Rushing, 21st Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: RB Mike Gillislee, WR Marquise Goodwin, WR Justin Hunter, WR Marcus Easley, OT Cyrus Kouandjio, ILB Zach Brown, CB Stephon Gilmore, CB Nickell Robey-Coleman, S Corey Graham, S Phillip Thomas, K Dan Carpenter, WR Sammy Watkins

Arrivals: FB Patrick DiMarco, FB Mike Tolbert, WR Andre Holmes, WR Philly Brown, WR Rod Streater, G Vlad Ducasse, ILB Gerald Hodges, CB Shareece Wright, S Micah Hyde, S Jordan Poyer, K Steven Hauschka, WR Jordan Matthews, CB E.J. Ganes

Top Draft Picks: CB Tre’Davious White (LSU, #27 overall), WR Zay Jones (East Carolina, #37 overall), G Dion Dawkins (Temple, #63 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Tyrod Taylor

Offensive Player of the Year: LeSean McCoy

Defensive Player of the Year: Kyle Williams

Other Notable players: Richie Incognito, Charles Clay, Marcell Dareus, Lorenzo Alexander

Strongest position group: Offensive Line

Weakest position group: Secondary

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins went 10-6 last season and made the playoffs for the first time eight years. Adam Gase will now enter his second year as head coach of the Dolphins. Clyde Christensen, also in his second year with the Dolphins, will lead the offense. Matt Burke is also entering his second year as defensive coordinator for the Dolphins.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 14th Overall, 17th Rushing, 16th Passing

Defense – 19th Overall, 22nd Rushing, 16th Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures:TE Jordan Cameron, TE Dion Sims, OT Branden Albert, DE Mario Williams, NT Earl Mitchell, OLB Jelani Jenkins, S Isa Abdul-Quddus

Arrivals: TE Julius Thomas, TE Anthony Fasano, C Ted Larsen, DE William Hayes, ILB Lawrence Timmons, S T.J. McDonald, S Nate Allen

Top Draft Picks: OLB Charles Harris (Missouri, #22 overall), LB Raekwon McMillan (Ohio State, #54 overall), CB Cordrea Tankersley (Clemson, #97 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Jay Cutler

Offensive Player of the Year: Jarvis Landry

Defensive Player of the Year: Ndamukong Suh

Other Notable players: Reshad Jones, Byron Maxwell, Cameron Wake

Strongest position group: Front seven

Weakest position group: Offensive line

New England Patriots

The defending champion Patriots will enter Belichicks seventeenth season having won eight straight division titles. Josh McDaniels will be entering his ninth season as offensive coordinator for the Patriots. Matt Patricia will be leading the Patriots defense for a sixth straight season.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 2nd Overall, 15th Rushing, 2nd Passing

Defense – 16th Overall, 5th Rushing, 22nd Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: RB LeGarrette Blount, WR Michael Floyd, TE Martellus Bennett, OT Sebastian Vollmer, G Tre Jackson, DE Jabaal Shead, DE Chris Long, OLB Barkevious Mingo, CB Logan Ryan

Arrivals: RB Mike Gillislee, RB Rex Burkhead, WR Brandin Cooks, WR Andrew Hawkins, TE Dwayne Allen, DE Kony Ealy, DT Lawrence Guy, ILB David Harris, CB Stephon Gilmore

Top Draft Picks: DE Derek Rivers (Youngstown State, #83 overall), OT Antonio Garcia (Troy, #85 overall), DE Deatrich Wise (Arkansas, #131 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Tom Brady

Offensive Player of the Year: Rob Gronkowski

Defensive Player of the Year: Malcolm Butler

Other Notable players: Devin McCourty, Stephen Gilmore, Dont’a Hightower

Strongest position group: Quarterback

Weakest position group: Front seven

New York Jets

The Jets finished last season at 5-11 and last place in the AFC East. Todd Bowles will return for his third season as Jets head coach, failing to make the playoffs in his first two years. Bowles will be bringing in John Morton as the new offensive coordinator. Morton spent his last two season as the wide receivers coach for the Saints. Kacy Rodgers will return for his third season as defensive coordinator for the Jets.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 31st Overall, 20th Rushing, 31st Passing

Defense – 21st Overall, 1st Rushing, 31st Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB Geno Smith, RB Khiry Robinson, WR Brandon Marshall, WR Eric Decker, OT Ryan Clady, OT Breno Giacomini, C Nick Mangold, ILB David Harris, CB Darrelle Revis, S Calvin Pryor, S Marcus Gilchrist, K Nick Folk

Arrivals: QB Josh McCown, WR Quinton Patton, OT Kelvin Beachum, DT Mike Pennel, ILB Demario Davis, ILB Spencer Paysinger, CB Morris Claiborne, K Chandler Catanzaro

Top Draft Picks: S Jamal Adams (LSU, #6 overall), S Marcus Maye (Florida, #39 overall), WR ArDarius Stewart (Alabama, #79 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Josh McCown

Offensive Player of the Year: James Carpenter

Defensive Player of the Year: Leonard Williams

Other Notable players: Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson, Jamal Adams, Morris Claiborne

Strongest position group: Front seven

Weakest position group: Offensive skill players

AFC East Preseason Projections
Team Projected Record 90% Confidence Interval Odds to win Division
Patriots 11-5 7.7-8.3 14.8-1.2 91.9%
Bills 7-9 3.6-12.4 11.5-4.5 5.8%
Dolphins 7-9 2.8-13.2 10.4-5.6 1.8%
Jets 6-10 2.1-13.9 9.5-6.5 < 1%


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