2017 AFC South Outlook

Posted: August 30, 2017 in NFL

Houston Texans

The Texans finished last season 9-7 for the third straight year season under Bill O’ Brien. Mike Vrabel will enter his first season as defensive coordinator after spending the last three seasons the Texans linebackers coach.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 30th Overall, 27th Rushing, 30th Passing

Defense – 9th Overall, 18th Rushing, 5th Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: QB Brock Osweiler, RB Jonathan Grimes, G Oday Aboushi, G Tony Bergstrom, DE/DT Antonio Smith, NT Vince Wilfork, DE/OLB John Simon, CB A.J. Bouye, S Quintin Demps

Arrivals: OT Breno Giacomini

Top Draft Picks: QB Deshaun Watson (Clemson, #12 overall), LB Zach Cunningham (Vanderbilt, #57 overall), RB D’Onta Foreman (Texas, #89 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: J.J. Watt

Offensive Player of the Year: DeAndre Hopkins

Defensive Player of the Year: Whitney Mercilus

Other Notable players: Johnathan Joseph, Jadaveon Clowney, Lamar Miller, Benandrick McKinney

Strongest position group: Front seven

Weakest position group: Quarterback

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts finished last season 8-8 and missed the playoffs for the second consecutive year. Chuck Pagano will begin his sixth season as Colts head coach. Rob Chudzinski will enter his second season as offensive coordinator for the Colts. Ted Monachino will also enter his second season as defensive coordinator.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 12th Overall, 10th Rushing, 17th Passing

Defense – 29th Overall, 32nd Rushing, 26th Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: RB Robert Turbin, TE Dwayne Allen, G Joe Reitz, G Hugh Thornton, DE/DT Arthur Jones, NT Zach Kerr, DE/OLB Trent Cole, DE/OLB Erik Walden, ILB D’Qwell Jackson, CB Patrick Robinson, CB Darryl Morris, S Mike Adams, P Pat McAfee

Arrivals: RB Christine Michael, WR Kamar Aiken, TE Brandon Williams, C Brian Schwenke, DE/DT Margus Hunt, NT Johnathan Hankins, NT Al Woods, DE/OLB Jabaal Sheard, DE/OLB John Simon, ILB Sean Spence, ILB Jon Bostic, P Jeff Locke

Top Draft Picks: S Malik Hooker (Ohio State, #15 overall), CB Quincy Wilson (Florida, #46 overall), DE Tarell Basham (Ohio, #80 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Andrew Luck

Offensive Player of the Year: T.Y. Hilton

Defensive Player of the Year: Vontae Davis

Other Notable players: Frank Gore, Anthony Castonzo, Darius Butler, John Simon, Jabaal Sheard

Strongest position group: Quarterback

Weakest position group: Secondary

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars finished last season 3-13: their sixth consecutive season with a losing record. Doug Marrone took over the head coaching position after the Jaguars fired Gus Bradley. Marrone will enter his first official year as Jaguars head coach. Nathaniel Hackett is entering his first year as offensive coordinator for the Jaguars after a few years as the quarterbacks coach. Todd Wash will enter his second season as the defensive coordinator for the Jaguars.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 27th Overall, 28th Rushing, 23rd Passing

Defense – 12th Overall, 12th Rushing, 15th Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: RB Denard Robinson, WR Bryan Walters, TE Julius Thomas, OT Kelvin Beachum, G Luke Joeckel, DE/DT Jared Odrick, DE/DT Tyson Alualu, DT Roy Miller, DT Sen’Derrick Marks, OLB Dan Skuta, CB Prince Amukamara, CB Davon House, S John Cyprien

Arrivals: TE Mychal Rivera, OT Branden Albert, G Earl Watford, DE/DT Calais Campbell, DT Stefan Charles, OLB Lerentee McCray, ILB Audie Cole, ILB Josh McNary, CB A.J. Bouye, S Barry Church

Top Draft Picks: RB Leonard Fournette (LSU, #4 overall), OT Cam Robinson (Alabama, #34 overall), DE Dawuane Smoot (Illinois, #68 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Calais Campbell

Offensive Player of the Year: Allen Robinson

Defensive Player of the Year: A.J. Bouye

Other Notable players: Jalen Ramsey, Paul Posluszny, Leonard Fournette, Barry Church

Strongest position group: Front seven

Weakest position group: Quarterback

Tennessee Titans

The Titans finished last season at 9-7 in Mike Mularkey’s first full year as head coach. Legendary coach Dick LeBeau will begin his third season as Titans defensive coordinator. Terry Robiksie will enter his second season as the Titans offensive coordinator.

Prior Year DVOA Rankings (footballoutsiders.com)

Offense – 9th Overall, 8th Rushing, 9th Passing

Defense – 24th Overall, 10th Rushing, 27th Passing

Offseason Summary (walterfootball.com)

Departures: WR Kendall Wright, OT Byron Bell, TE Anthony Fasano, G Chance Warmack, C Brian Schwenke, NT Al Woods, ILB Sean Spence, CB Jason McCourty, CB Brice McCain, CB Antwon Blake, S Rashad Johnson, S Daimion Stafford

Arrivals: WR Eric Decker, WR/KR Eric Weems, G Tim Lelito, NT Sylvester Williams, LB Darren Bates, CB Logan Ryan, S John Cyprien, S Brynden Trawick

Top Draft Picks: WR Corey Davis (Western Michigan, #5 overall), CB Adoree’ Jackson (USC, #18 overall), WR Taywan Taylor (Western Kentucky, #72 overall)

Preseason Awards

MVP: Marcus Mariota

Offensive Player of the Year: DeMarco Murray

Defensive Player of the Year: Logan Ryan

Other Notable players: Delanie Walker, Eric Decker, Taylor Lewan, Jack Conklin, Jonathan Cyprien, Brian Orakpo, Jurrell Casey

Strongest position group: Offensive line

Weakest position group: Quarterback

NFC South Preseason Projections

Team Projected Record 90% Confidence Interval Odds to win Division
Colts 8-8 5.3-10.7 12.0-4.0 38.6%
Titans 8-8 5.1-10.9 11.8-4.2 34.3%
Jaguars 8-8 5.3-10.7 11.7-4.3 33.9%
Texans 7-9 4.5-11.5 11.1-4.9 23.8%

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s