NFL Week 1 Preview

Posted: September 7, 2017 in NFL

Projections

 

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:30 New England Patriots 67.4% Kansas City Chiefs 32.6%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 65.7% New York Jets 34.3%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 32.1% Atlanta Falcons 67.9%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 55.4% Baltimore Ravens 44.6%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 22.4% Pittsburgh Steelers 77.6%
Sun 12:00 Detroit Lions 42.0% Arizona Cardinals 58.0%
Sun 12:00 Houston Texans 54.0% Jacksonville Jaguars 46.0%
Sun 12:00 Tennessee Titans 52.4% Oakland Raiders 47.6%
Sun 12:00 Washington Redskins 47.6% Philadelphia Eagles 52.4%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Rams 44.0% Indianapolis Colts 56.0%
Sun 3:25 Green Bay Packers 59.2% Seattle Seahawks 40.8%
Sun 3:25 San Francisco 49ers 36.3% Carolina Panthers 63.7%
Sun 7:30 Dallas Cowboys 64.0% New York Giants 36.0%
Mon 6:10 Minnesota Vikings 54.1% New Orleans Saints 45.9%
Mon 9:20 Denver Broncos 62.4% Los Angeles Chargers 37.6%

 

Picks of the Week

The week 1 game of the week (0-0 in 2017, 9-5-1 overall) is the Titans hosting the Raiders. Both teams have younger quarterbacks with high expectations and both teams are being consistently picked to win their division. I like the home team in this one. Titans 31 Raiders 27 

Lock of the week (0-0 in 2017, 14-2 overall)- Patriots over the Chiefs. Although I think the Chiefs are a great team, I don’t see the defending champions losing on opening night of the NFL season. Patriots 28 Chiefs 17

Upset of the week (0-0 in 2017, 4-12-1 overall)- Rams over the Colts. I have a lot of questions about this Colts team and the absence of Andrew Luck will be seen in this game. Rams 21 Colts 17

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 31 6 0 83.8%
61-80% 95 57 1 62.4%
51-60% 42 34 1 55.2%
           168             97                   2 63.3%
Expected Right      188.64
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