Week 3 NFL Preview

Posted: September 21, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 San Francisco 49ers 41.5% Los Angeles Rams 58.5%
Sun 8:30 Jacksonville Jaguars 29.6% Baltimore Ravens 70.4%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 34.5% Denver Broncos 65.5%
Sun 12:00 Carolina Panthers 74.8% New Orleans Saints 25.2%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 25.5% Pittsburgh Steelers 74.5%
Sun 12:00 Detroit Lions 37.2% Atlanta Falcons 62.8%
Sun 12:00 Indianapolis Colts 78.0% Cleveland Browns 22.0%
Sun 12:00 Minnesota Vikings 55.6% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44.4%
Sun 12:00 New England Patriots 69.1% Houston Texans 30.9%
Sun 12:00 New York Jets 35.6% Miami Dolphins 64.4%
Sun 12:00 Philadelphia Eagles 68.9% New York Giants 31.1%
Sun 3:05 Tennessee Titans 42.0% Seattle Seahawks 58.0%
Sun 3:25 Green Bay Packers 66.4% Cincinnati Bengals 33.6%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Chargers 40.3% Kansas City Chiefs 59.7%
Sun 7:30 Washington Redskins 34.8% Oakland Raiders 65.2%
Mon 7:30 Arizona Cardinals 51.6% Dallas Cowboys 48.4%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (1-1) – I selected Vikings-Buccaneers as the game of the week. This is a sneaky good match-up of two very talented defenses. The Vikings might be without starting QB Sam Bradford for a second consecutive week. The Buccaneers might be without Kwon Alexander so both teams may not be at 100%. I think the Vikings offensive line is still putting some pieces together and I think the Buccaneers have the better overall team. Buccaneers 19 Vikings 17

Lock of the week (1-1) – I typically try and stay away from divisional rival games but the match-up of the Eagles and Giants is too enticing. The best unit on the Eagles is their pass rush and defensive line and they are going up against one of the worst offensive lines I have ever seen. I expect Eli to continue running for his life in Week 3 as the Giants drop to 0-3. Eagles 24 Giants 9

Upset of the week (2-0) – I will take the Browns over the Colts. The Colts are unquestionably not the same without Andrew Luck on the field and their roster is worse than the Browns without him. The Colts are huge favorites (in my probabilities) because the Browns are just viewed that poorly. I still think the Browns can win a home game against the Colts though. Browns 21 Colts 17

Accuracy

 

Overall W L T %
81+% 31 6 0 83.8%
61-80% 108 60 1 64.2%
51-60% 50 41 1 54.9%
           189          107                   2 63.8%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 0 0 0 #DIV/0!
61-80% 13 3 0 81.3%
51-60% 8 7 0 53.3%
              21               10                – 67.7%
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