Week 5 NFL Preview

Posted: October 4, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 47.9% New England Patriots 52.1%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 45.0% Buffalo Bills 55.0%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 40.0% New York Jets 60.0%
Sun 12:00 Detroit Lions 52.7% Carolina Panthers 47.3%
Sun 12:00 Indianapolis Colts 36.7% San Francisco 49ers 63.3%
Sun 12:00 Miami Dolphins 37.3% Tennessee Titans 62.7%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 57.8% Los Angeles Chargers 42.2%
Sun 12:00 Philadelphia Eagles 74.5% Arizona Cardinals 25.5%
Sun 12:00 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.6% Jacksonville Jaguars 45.4%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Rams 54.8% Seattle Seahawks 45.2%
Sun 3:05 Oakland Raiders 60.9% Baltimore Ravens 39.1%
Sun 3:25 Dallas Cowboys 54.3% Green Bay Packers 45.7%
Sun 7:30 Houston Texans 27.4% Kansas City Chiefs 72.6%
Mon 7:30 Chicago Bears 38.3% Minnesota Vikings 61.7%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (1-3) – Cowboys host the Packers in the afternoon game on Sunday night in a rematch of their thrilling NFC Divisional round matchup. The Packers are 3-1 at the quarter pole and tied with the Lions for the divisional lead. The Cowboys are 2-2 and a loss could mean falling two games behind the Eagles (home vs. Cardinals) early in the season. This should be an interesting game as the Packers are dealing with a ton of injuries but coming off a long week while the Cowboys are hoping to get more production out of their secondary against Aaron Rodgers. I like the Packers in a tight one. Packers 27 Cowboys 24

Lock of the week (3-1) – The odds don’t show this but I really like the Steelers to beat up on the Jaguars at home. Ben Roethlisberger’s Home/Away splits are legitimate, and they are home. Steelers 31 Jaguars 20

Upset of the week (3-1) – Browns over Jets only because the Jets really can’t be 3-2 this season, right? Browns 23 Jets 17

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 31 6 0 83.8%
61-80% 119 70 1 62.9%
51-60% 56 45 1 55.4%
           206          121                   2 62.9%
Expected Right        218.9 5.9%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 0 0 0 #DIV/0!
61-80% 24 13 0 64.9%
51-60% 14 9 0 60.9%
              38               22                – 63.3%
Expected Right         39.31  3.3%

 

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