Week 11 NFL Preview

Posted: November 15, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Pittsburgh Steelers 69.8% Tennessee Titans 30.2%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 39.4% Detroit Lions 60.6%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 15.6% Jacksonville Jaguars 84.4%
Sun 12:00 Green Bay Packers 56.3% Baltimore Ravens 43.7%
Sun 12:00 Houston Texans 72.0% Arizona Cardinals 28.0%
Sun 12:00 Miami Dolphins 49.2% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50.8%
Sun 12:00 Minnesota Vikings 48.2% Los Angeles Rams 51.8%
Sun 12:00 New Orleans Saints 73.1% Washington Redskins 26.9%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 21.5% Kansas City Chiefs 78.5%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Chargers 54.1% Buffalo Bills 45.9%
Sun 3:25 Denver Broncos 44.1% Cincinnati Bengals 55.9%
Sun 3:25 Oakland Raiders 26.9% New England Patriots 73.1%
Sun 7:30 Dallas Cowboys 40.2% Philadelphia Eagles 59.8%
Mon 7:30 Seattle Seahawks 51.1% Atlanta Falcons 48.9%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (6-4) – The Vikings will host the Rams in a very intriguing matchup between current division leaders in the NFC. Both teams are 7-2 and in prime playoff position but are in a very crowded NFC with nine teams with a legitimate chance at taking the six playoff spots. I like the Vikings winning this one at home, but expect it to be close. Vikings 27 Rams 23

Lock of the week (7-3) – Chiefs over the Giants. Chiefs 34 Giants 19

Upset of the week (6-4) – I think the Bears can pull an upset against the Lions at home. Bears 27 Lions 24

Accuracy

 

Overall W L T %
81+% 38 9 0 80.9%
61-80% 145 83 1 63.5%
51-60% 74 61 1 54.8%
          257           153               2 62.6%
Expected Right       273.3 5.9%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 7 3 0 70.0%
61-80% 50 26 0 65.8%
51-60% 32 9 0 78.0%
             89             38              – 70.1%
Expected Right        93.71 5.0%
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