Archive for December, 2017

Week 17 NFL Preview

Posted: December 31, 2017 in NFL

Projections

 

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Sun 12:00 Detroit Lions 63.6% Green Bay Packers 36.4%
Sun 12:00 Indianapolis Colts 42.0% Houston Texans 58.0%
Sun 12:00 Minnesota Vikings 78.7% Chicago Bears 21.3%
Sun 12:00 New England Patriots 80.1% New York Jets 19.9%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 37.9% Washington Redskins 62.1%
Sun 12:00 Philadelphia Eagles 72.9% Dallas Cowboys 27.1%
Sun 12:00 Pittsburgh Steelers 86.6% Cleveland Browns 13.4%
Sun 3:25 Atlanta Falcons 50.1% Carolina Panthers 49.9%
Sun 3:25 Baltimore Ravens 74.4% Cincinnati Bengals 25.6%
Sun 3:25 Denver Broncos 28.2% Kansas City Chiefs 71.8%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Chargers 66.6% Oakland Raiders 33.4%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Rams 81.9% San Francisco 49ers 18.1%
Sun 3:25 Miami Dolphins 53.7% Buffalo Bills 46.3%
Sun 3:25 Seattle Seahawks 69.3% Arizona Cardinals 30.7%
Sun 3:25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25.3% New Orleans Saints 74.7%
Sun 3:25 Tennessee Titans 32.6% Jacksonville Jaguars 67.4%

Playoff Odds

New England Patriots

New England clinches home-field advantage throughout AFC playoffs (82.8%):

  1. New England win (80.1%) OR
  2. Pittsburgh loss (13.4%) OR
  3. New England tie and Pittsburgh tie (<0.1%)

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh clinches home-field advantage throughout AFC playoffs (17.2%):

  1. Pittsburgh win + New England loss/tie (17.2%) OR
  2. Pittsburgh tie + New England loss (<0.1%)

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore clinches a playoff berth (90.9%):

  1. Baltimore win/tie (74.4%) OR
  2. Buffalo loss/tie (53.7%) OR
  3. Tennessee loss/tie (67.4%)

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee clinches a playoff berth (42.3%):

  1. Tennessee win (32.6%) OR
  2. Tennessee tie + Buffalo loss/tie + LA Chargers loss/tie (0.1%) OR
  3. Buffalo loss + LA Chargers loss (17.9%)

Los Angeles Chargers

L.A. Chargers clinch a playoff berth (46.9%):

  1. LA Chargers win + Tennessee loss/tie + Buffalo loss/tie (24.1%) OR
  2. LA Chargers win + Tennessee loss/tie + Baltimore win/tie (33.4%) OR
  3. LA Chargers tie + Tennessee loss + Buffalo loss/tie (0.2%)

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo clinches a playoff berth (20.0%):

  1. Buffalo win + Baltimore loss (11.8%) OR
  2. Buffalo win + LA Chargers loss/tie + Tennessee loss/tie (10.4%) OR
  3. Buffalo tie + LA Chargers loss + Tennessee loss (0.1%)

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota clinches a first-round bye (99.5%):

  1. Minnesota win/tie (78.7%) OR
  2. Carolina loss/tie  (50.1%) OR
  3. New Orleans win (74.7%) OR
  4. LA Rams win (81.9%)

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans clinches NFC South (87.4%):

  1. New Orleans win (74.7%) OR
  2. Carolina loss (50.1%) OR
  3. New Orleans tie + Carolina tie (<0.1%)

Carolina Panthers

Carolina clinches NFC South (12.6%):

  1. Carolina win + New Orleans loss/tie (12.6%) OR
  2. Carolina tie + New Orleans loss (0.1%)

Carolina clinches a first-round bye (0.5%):

  1. Carolina win + New Orleans loss/tie + Minnesota loss + LA Rams loss/tie (0.5%)

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta clinches a playoff berth (70.9%):

  1. Atlanta win (50.1%) OR
  2. Seattle loss (30.7%) OR
  3. Atlanta tie + Seattle tie (<0.1%)

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle clinches a playoff berth (29.1%):

  1. Seattle win + Atlanta loss/tie (34.6%) OR
  2. Seattle tie + Atlanta loss (0.2%)

 

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 47 9 0 83.9%
61-80% 185 94 1 66.3%
51-60% 92 77 1 54.4%
          324           180               2 64.2%
Expected Right       334.8 3.2%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 16 3 0 84.2%
61-80% 90 37 0 70.9%
51-60% 50 43 0 53.8%
           156             83              – 65.3%
Expected Right      155.27 -0.5%
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Week 17 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 26, 2017 in NFL

The Eagles fell two spots off the top line and are now ranked third. The Saints are the new number one followed closely by the Vikings. With one week remaining in the NFL season I think it is fair to say that this year is fairly wide open as I can see any of the teams in the top eight winning the Super Bowl.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 New Orleans Saints 72.1% 11.7 13.1% 6.7%                  2 1
2 Minnesota Vikings 71.2% 12.8 25.8% 15.8%                  3 1
3 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13.7 30.9% 26.3%                  1 -2
4 New England Patriots 69.1% 12.8 40.6% 16.0%                  5 1
5 Los Angeles Rams 69.1% 11.8 14.0% 7.2%                  4 -1
6 Jacksonville Jaguars 63.4% 10.7 8.1% 2.2%                  6 0
7 Carolina Panthers 63.1% 11.5 11.0% 5.4%                  7 0
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 62.4% 12.9 41.8% 16.6%                  9 1
9 Baltimore Ravens 60.8% 9.8 3.1% <1%                  8 -1
10 Atlanta Falcons 58.4% 9.5 1.8% <1%                10 0
11 Kansas City Chiefs 57.9% 9.7 3.1% <1%                11 0
12 Seattle Seahawks 55.1% 9.7 2.0% <1%                14 2
13 Los Angeles Chargers 54.3% 8.7 1.5% <1%                15 2
14 Detroit Lions 53.1% 8.7 <1% <1%                12 -2
15 Dallas Cowboys 52.1% 8.3 <1% <1%                13 -2
16 Washington Redskins 49.4% 7.6 <1% <1%                16 0
17 Chicago Bears 45.0% 5.2 <1% <1%                20 3
18 Green Bay Packers 44.2% 7.3 <1% <1%                17 -1
19 Buffalo Bills 42.4% 8.4 <1% <1%                18 -1
20 Oakland Raiders 42.1% 6.3 <1% <1%                23 3
21 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41.7% 4.3 <1% <1%                24 3
22 Miami Dolphins 41.1% 6.6 <1% <1%                19 -3
23 Tennessee Titans 40.7% 8.3 <1% <1%                25 2
24 New York Jets 40.4% 5.2 <1% <1%                21 -3
25 Arizona Cardinals 39.9% 7.3 <1% <1%                27 2
26 Cincinnati Bengals 39.4% 6.2 <1% <1%                26 0
27 Houston Texans 39.0% 4.6 <1% <1%                22 -5
28 San Francisco 49ers 37.6% 5.2 <1% <1%                29 1
29 New York Giants 32.7% 2.4 <1% <1%                28 -1
30 Denver Broncos 30.7% 5.3 <1% <1%                30 0
31 Indianapolis Colts 27.4% 3.4 <1% <1%                31 0
32 Cleveland Browns 23.9% 0.1 <1% <1%                32 0

Week 16 NFL Preview

Posted: December 23, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Sat 3:30 Baltimore Ravens 85.3% Indianapolis Colts 14.7%
Sat 7:30 Green Bay Packers 31.2% Minnesota Vikings 68.8%
Sun 12:00 Carolina Panthers 76.8% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23.2%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 73.2% Cleveland Browns 26.8%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 37.1% Detroit Lions 62.9%
Sun 12:00 Kansas City Chiefs 68.2% Miami Dolphins 31.8%
Sun 12:00 New England Patriots 77.0% Buffalo Bills 23.0%
Sun 12:00 New Orleans Saints 67.1% Atlanta Falcons 32.9%
Sun 12:00 New York Jets 43.2% Los Angeles Chargers 56.8%
Sun 12:00 Tennessee Titans 25.0% Los Angeles Rams 75.0%
Sun 12:00 Washington Redskins 69.4% Denver Broncos 30.6%
Sun 3:05 San Francisco 49ers 23.2% Jacksonville Jaguars 76.8%
Sun 3:25 Arizona Cardinals 57.1% New York Giants 42.9%
Sun 3:25 Dallas Cowboys 55.5% Seattle Seahawks 44.5%
Mon 3:30 Houston Texans 36.0% Pittsburgh Steelers 64.0%
Mon 7:30 Philadelphia Eagles 81.0% Oakland Raiders 19.0%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (9-5) – Cowboys play the Seahawks in a pivotal game for both team’s playoff chances. Loser is eliminated and winner keeps fighting headed into the final week of the NFL Season. I like the Cowboys, who get Zeke back, at home in this one. Cowboys 28 Seahawks 26

Lock of the week (9-5) – Ravens over the Colts on Saturday. Ravens 28 Colts 17

Upset of the week (7-7) – Bengals defeat the Lions and eliminate them from the playoff picture. Bengals 27 Lions 24

Accuracy

 

Overall W L T %
81+% 45 9 0 83.3%
61-80% 176 92 1 65.6%
51-60% 90 76 1 54.2%
          311           177               2 63.7%
Expected Right       323.7 3.9%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 14 3 0 82.4%
61-80% 81 35 0 69.8%
51-60% 48 42 0 53.3%
           143             80              – 64.1%
Expected Right      144.12 0.8%

Week 16 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 20, 2017 in NFL

 

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 70.7% 13.6 100.0% >99% 32.7% 26.8%                  1 0
2 New Orleans Saints 70.5% 11.4 54.8% 98.3% 11.8% 5.9%                  2 0
3 Minnesota Vikings 69.4% 12.5 100.0% >99% 24.0% 14.4%                  4 1
4 Los Angeles Rams 69.4% 11.6 99.3% >99% 13.3% 6.8%                  6 2
5 New England Patriots 68.4% 12.6 100.0% >99% 37.5% 15.5%                  3 -2
6 Jacksonville Jaguars 66.7% 11.5 99.7% >99% 17.9% 6.1%                  5 -1
7 Carolina Panthers 65.0% 11.3 44.1% 97.7% 10.7% 5.3%                  7 0
8 Baltimore Ravens 62.0% 9.6 0.0% 74.2% 3.1% <1%                  8 0
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 60.1% 12.5 100.0% >99% 35.4% 14.4%                  9 0
10 Atlanta Falcons 58.9% 9.8 1.1% 76.1% 3.0% 1.1%                10 0
11 Kansas City Chiefs 57.2% 9.4 85.8% 85.8% 2.7% <1%                13 2
12 Detroit Lions 54.8% 9.3 0.0% 59.6% 1.7% <1%                14 2
13 Dallas Cowboys 54.2% 8.8 0.0% 43.4% 1.2% <1%                15 2
14 Seattle Seahawks 53.7% 9.2 0.7% 55.2% 1.6% <1%                11 -3
15 Los Angeles Chargers 53.5% 8.2 14.1% 24.2% <1% <1%                12 -3
16 Washington Redskins 47.1% 7.3 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                16 0
17 Green Bay Packers 45.6% 7.7 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Buffalo Bills 44.2% 8.7 0.0% 36.0% 1.4% <1%                21 3
19 Miami Dolphins 43.3% 6.9 0.0% 2.7% <1% <1%                18 -1
20 Chicago Bears 43.0% 4.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                19 -1
21 New York Jets 41.7% 5.7 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                23 2
22 Houston Texans 41.0% 5.0 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                20 -2
23 Oakland Raiders 40.8% 6.5 0.0% 1.2% <1% <1%                26 3
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40.7% 4.5 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                24 0
25 Tennessee Titans 38.2% 8.6 0.3% 32.2% 1.2% <1%                22 -3
26 Cincinnati Bengals 36.9% 5.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                25 -1
27 Arizona Cardinals 36.7% 6.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                27 0
28 New York Giants 34.8% 2.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 1
29 San Francisco 49ers 33.2% 4.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                28 -1
30 Denver Broncos 32.4% 5.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 0
31 Indianapolis Colts 25.5% 3.5 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 0
32 Cleveland Browns 25.3% 0.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 0

Week 7 NCAA Power Rankings

Posted: December 18, 2017 in NCAA

Villanova takes the number one spot away from Michigan State, who falls to two. Virginia, Duke and Arizona State round out the top five. Texas (28) and Northern Iowa (38) both dropped out of the top 25 while Oklahoma (16) and West Virginia (25) jumped in.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Villanova BE 73.9% 11 – 0 24 – 7 11 – 7 2 1
2 Michigan St. B10 73.4% 10 – 1 23 – 8 12 – 6 1 -1
3 Virginia ACC 72.8% 9 – 1 22 – 8 11 – 7 5 2
4 Duke ACC 72.3% 11 – 1 23 – 8 10 – 8 7 3
5 Arizona St. P12 72.0% 10 – 0 23 – 7 12 – 6 3 -2
6 North Carolina ACC 71.9% 10 – 1 22 – 9 11 – 7 9 3
7 Purdue B10 71.5% 11 – 2 22 – 9 12 – 6 11 4
8 Tennessee SEC 71.4% 7 – 2 20 – 10 11 – 7 4 -4
9 Texas A&M SEC 70.6% 9 – 1 21 – 10 10 – 8 8 -1
10 Xavier BE 69.8% 10 – 1 22 – 9 11 – 7 6 -4
11 Arizona P12 69.0% 8 – 3 21 – 10 11 – 7 14 3
12 Kansas B12 68.9% 8 – 2 20 – 11 10 – 8 13 1
13 Arkansas SEC 68.8% 8 – 2 20 – 11 10 – 8 15 2
14 TCU B12 68.7% 10 – 0 22 – 9 10 – 8 16 2
15 Wichita St. Amer 68.4% 8 – 2 21 – 9 11 – 7 12 -3
16 Oklahoma B12 68.2% 8 – 1 20 – 10 10 – 8 35 19
17 Nevada MWC 68.1% 8 – 2 22 – 10 11 – 7 25 8
18 Seton Hall BE 68.0% 9 – 2 21 – 10 10 – 8 21 3
19 Florida St. ACC 67.9% 9 – 1 21 – 9 10 – 8 18 -1
20 Missouri SEC 67.7% 8 – 2 19 – 11 10 – 8 19 -1
21 Gonzaga WCC 67.3% 9 – 2 22 – 9 12 – 6 10 -11
22 Rhode Island A10 67.3% 6 – 3 19 – 10 11 – 7 17 -5
23 Texas Tech B12 67.0% 9 – 1 20 – 11 9 – 9 20 -3
24 St. John’s BE 67.0% 8 – 2 19 – 11 10 – 8 23 -1
25 West Virginia B12 66.5% 9 – 1 21 – 10 9 – 9 27 2

Week 15 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 12, 2017 in NFL

The Eagles hold on to the top spot but lost QB Carson Wentz for the season. This opens the door for other teams like the Saints, Vikings, Rams, Panthers and more in the NFC. The Patriots stumbled in Miami but can still control its own destiny for home field advantage with a win against Pittsburgh this week.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 72.1% 13.4 100.0% >99% 35.5% 27.0%                  1 0
2 New Orleans Saints 68.6% 11.2 55.1% 96.2% 11.4% 5.4%                  3 1
3 New England Patriots 67.9% 12.1 99.9% >99% 30.5% 12.3%                  2 -1
4 Minnesota Vikings 67.1% 12.2 127.1% >99% 23.7% 13.3%                  4 0
5 Jacksonville Jaguars 66.9% 11.2 94.9% 96.5% 16.1% 5.6%                  6 1
6 Los Angeles Rams 66.8% 11.1 127.6% >99% 10.6% 4.9%                  5 -1
7 Carolina Panthers 64.7% 11.0 54.5% 94.6% 10.0% 4.7%                  7 0
8 Baltimore Ravens 60.7% 9.4 0.0% 64.1% 2.8% <1%                  9 1
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 60.0% 12.9 100.0% >99% 42.8% 21.3%                  8 -1
10 Atlanta Falcons 60.0% 9.5 2.7% 64.5% 2.7% <1%                10 0
11 Seattle Seahawks 56.8% 9.7 13.7% 70.3% 3.2% 1.2%                11 0
12 Los Angeles Chargers 56.0% 8.7 49.9% 49.9% 1.8% <1%                14 2
13 Kansas City Chiefs 55.0% 8.9 107.6% >99% 2.0% <1%                12 -1
14 Detroit Lions 54.0% 8.9 0.0% 46.0% 1.4% <1%                13 -1
15 Dallas Cowboys 53.5% 8.4 0.0% 29.4% <1% <1%                15 0
16 Washington Redskins 48.1% 7.0 0.0% 3.8% <1% <1%                16 0
17 Green Bay Packers 47.1% 8.0 0.0% 19.4% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Miami Dolphins 44.5% 7.3 0.0% 8.6% <1% <1%                23 5
19 Chicago Bears 44.1% 5.3 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                26 7
20 Houston Texans 44.0% 5.3 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                18 -2
21 Buffalo Bills 43.8% 8.2 0.2% 24.9% <1% <1%                19 -2
22 Tennessee Titans 41.2% 9.1 26.4% 53.3% 2.7% <1%                20 -2
23 New York Jets 40.9% 5.8 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                22 -1
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40.7% 4.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                24 0
25 Cincinnati Bengals 39.7% 5.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                21 -4
26 Oakland Raiders 39.6% 6.9 0.6% 3.8% <1% <1%                25 -1
27 Arizona Cardinals 37.4% 7.2 0.1% 7.0% <1% <1%                27 0
28 San Francisco 49ers 33.5% 3.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 1
29 New York Giants 31.9% 3.0 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                28 -1
30 Denver Broncos 31.0% 5.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 0
31 Indianapolis Colts 26.8% 4.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 0
32 Cleveland Browns 25.3% 0.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 0

Week 6 NCAA Power Rankings

Posted: December 11, 2017 in NCAA

Without further ado, the first in-season power rankings for this young college basketball season. Michigan State has control of the top spot, closely followed by Villanova. Arizona State and Tennessee have both got off to great starts and are ranked three and four, respectively. Virginia rounds out the top five. To see all teams ranked, go to the NCAA tab.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Michigan St. B10 74.1% 9 – 1 24 – 7 12 – 6 5 4
2 Villanova BE 73.7% 10 – 0 23 – 8 11 – 7 4 2
3 Arizona St. P12 72.8% 9 – 0 23 – 7 12 – 6 97 94
4 Tennessee SEC 72.3% 7 – 1 21 – 9 11 – 7 40 36
5 Virginia ACC 72.1% 8 – 1 22 – 8 11 – 7 14 9
6 Xavier BE 71.6% 9 – 1 22 – 9 11 – 7 22 16
7 Duke ACC 71.5% 11 – 1 23 – 8 10 – 8 6 -1
8 Texas A&M SEC 70.9% 8 – 1 21 – 10 11 – 7 12 4
9 North Carolina ACC 70.9% 9 – 1 21 – 10 11 – 7 19 10
10 Gonzaga WCC 70.7% 8 – 2 23 – 8 13 – 5 47 37
11 Purdue B10 70.7% 10 – 2 22 – 9 12 – 6 21 10
12 Wichita St. Amer 69.9% 8 – 1 22 – 8 11 – 7 9 -3
13 Kansas B12 69.7% 7 – 2 20 – 11 10 – 8 3 -10
14 Arizona P12 69.3% 7 – 3 20 – 11 11 – 7 2 -12
15 Arkansas SEC 68.8% 7 – 2 20 – 11 10 – 8 54 39
16 TCU B12 68.6% 10 – 0 22 – 9 10 – 8 11 -5
17 Rhode Island A10 68.6% 5 – 3 19 – 10 12 – 6 44 27
18 Florida St. ACC 68.1% 9 – 0 21 – 9 10 – 8 53 35
19 Missouri SEC 68.1% 7 – 2 19 – 11 10 – 8 99 80
20 Texas Tech B12 68.1% 7 – 1 21 – 10 10 – 8 30 10
21 Seton Hall BE 67.9% 8 – 1 21 – 10 10 – 8 23 2
22 Texas B12 67.4% 6 – 2 19 – 12 10 – 8 29 7
23 St. John’s BE 67.2% 7 – 2 19 – 11 10 – 8 60 37
24 Northern Iowa MVC 66.8% 6 – 2 19 – 9 11 – 7 138 114
25 Nevada MWC 66.1% 7 – 2 21 – 11 11 – 7 71 46

Week 14 NFL Preview

Posted: December 7, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Atlanta Falcons 42.5% New Orleans Saints 57.5%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 72.7% Indianapolis Colts 27.3%
Sun 12:00 Carolina Panthers 47.9% Minnesota Vikings 52.1%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 58.2% Chicago Bears 41.8%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 30.9% Green Bay Packers 69.1%
Sun 12:00 Houston Texans 72.2% San Francisco 49ers 27.8%
Sun 12:00 Kansas City Chiefs 68.0% Oakland Raiders 32.0%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 36.0% Dallas Cowboys 64.0%
Sun 12:00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 42.0% Detroit Lions 58.0%
Sun 3:05 Arizona Cardinals 46.7% Tennessee Titans 53.3%
Sun 3:05 Denver Broncos 41.6% New York Jets 58.4%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Chargers 58.0% Washington Redskins 42.0%
Sun 3:25 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.0% Seattle Seahawks 35.0%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Rams 50.6% Philadelphia Eagles 49.4%
Sun 7:30 Pittsburgh Steelers 55.0% Baltimore Ravens 45.0%
Mon 7:30 Miami Dolphins 25.8% New England Patriots 74.2%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (8-5) – There are a handful of games that are worth watching this week. I have chosen the Ravens and the Steelers on Sunday night. Anytime these teams play it seems to be a close, hard-fought game and this game should be no different. Steelers 17 Ravens 14

Lock of the week (9-4) – Patriots over Dolphins. Patriots 38 Dolphins 10

Upset of the week (7-6) – Giants shock the Cowboys at home in Eli Manning’s first consecutive start. Giants 27 Cowboys 24

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 43 9 0 82.7%
61-80% 163 89 1 64.6%
51-60% 84 68 1 55.2%
          290           166               2 63.5%
Expected Right       303.2 4.4%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 12 3 0 80.0%
61-80% 68 32 0 68.0%
51-60% 42 9 0 82.4%
           122             44              – 73.5%
Expected Right      123.65 1.3%

Week 14 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 5, 2017 in NFL

The top five remains the same, although the Eagles lead is not as large as it was last week. Patriots are now Super Bowl favorites, followed closely by the Eagles, Vikings and Steelers.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 71.0% 12.8 100.0% >99% 27.5% 18.7%                  1 0
2 New England Patriots 70.9% 12.9 100.0% >99% 40.7% 19.2%                  2 0
3 New Orleans Saints 69.6% 11.8 82.5% 98.1% 16.7% 9.0%                  3 0
4 Minnesota Vikings 68.4% 12.7 99.9% >99% 26.4% 17.6%                  4 0
5 Los Angeles Rams 67.2% 11.6 86.1% 97.4% 15.2% 8.0%                  5 0
6 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.8% 10.8 77.2% 91.8% 12.0% 3.8%                  7 1
7 Carolina Panthers 62.0% 10.4 16.9% 85.5% 6.1% 2.7%                  6 -1
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.7% 12.4 97.2% >99% 33.6% 14.5%                  8 0
9 Baltimore Ravens 59.7% 9.8 2.8% 72.2% 4.6% 1.2%                12 3
10 Atlanta Falcons 58.0% 8.9 0.6% 45.9% 1.5% <1%                10 0
11 Seattle Seahawks 55.9% 10.0 13.9% 77.0% 4.4% 1.8%                15 4
12 Kansas City Chiefs 54.2% 8.6 57.5% 57.5% 1.6% <1%                  9 -3
13 Detroit Lions 53.9% 8.4 0.1% 32.9% <1% <1%                11 -2
14 Los Angeles Chargers 53.6% 8.3 36.6% 36.6% 1.1% <1%                13 -1
15 Dallas Cowboys 51.4% 7.9 0.0% 20.7% <1% <1%                19 4
16 Washington Redskins 50.6% 7.5 0.0% 11.7% <1% <1%                14 -2
17 Green Bay Packers 49.2% 7.7 0.0% 16.7% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Houston Texans 48.3% 6.1 0.0% 1.3% <1% <1%                16 -2
19 Buffalo Bills 44.8% 8.0 0.0% 22.7% <1% <1%                18 -1
20 Tennessee Titans 43.6% 9.8 22.8% 70.9% 5.1% 1.4%                23 3
21 Cincinnati Bengals 43.0% 6.5 0.0% 3.2% <1% <1%                21 0
22 New York Jets 42.1% 6.4 0.0% 2.4% <1% <1%                25 3
23 Miami Dolphins 41.0% 6.5 0.0% 2.9% <1% <1%                26 3
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41.0% 5.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                22 -2
25 Oakland Raiders 40.5% 7.2 5.9% 8.5% <1% <1%                24 -1
26 Chicago Bears 39.8% 4.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                20 -6
27 Arizona Cardinals 35.7% 6.6 0.0% 3.6% <1% <1%                27 0
28 New York Giants 32.7% 3.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                28 0
29 San Francisco 49ers 30.5% 3.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 1
30 Denver Broncos 29.8% 4.5 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 -1
31 Indianapolis Colts 27.2% 4.3 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 0
32 Cleveland Browns 26.2% 1.0 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 0