Archive for December, 2017

Week 14 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 7, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Atlanta Falcons 42.5% New Orleans Saints 57.5%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 72.7% Indianapolis Colts 27.3%
Sun 12:00 Carolina Panthers 47.9% Minnesota Vikings 52.1%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 58.2% Chicago Bears 41.8%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 30.9% Green Bay Packers 69.1%
Sun 12:00 Houston Texans 72.2% San Francisco 49ers 27.8%
Sun 12:00 Kansas City Chiefs 68.0% Oakland Raiders 32.0%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 36.0% Dallas Cowboys 64.0%
Sun 12:00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 42.0% Detroit Lions 58.0%
Sun 3:05 Arizona Cardinals 46.7% Tennessee Titans 53.3%
Sun 3:05 Denver Broncos 41.6% New York Jets 58.4%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Chargers 58.0% Washington Redskins 42.0%
Sun 3:25 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.0% Seattle Seahawks 35.0%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Rams 50.6% Philadelphia Eagles 49.4%
Sun 7:30 Pittsburgh Steelers 55.0% Baltimore Ravens 45.0%
Mon 7:30 Miami Dolphins 25.8% New England Patriots 74.2%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (8-5) – There are a handful of games that are worth watching this week. I have chosen the Ravens and the Steelers on Sunday night. Anytime these teams play it seems to be a close, hard-fought game and this game should be no different. Steelers 17 Ravens 14

Lock of the week (9-4) – Patriots over Dolphins. Patriots 38 Dolphins 10

Upset of the week (7-6) – Giants shock the Cowboys at home in Eli Manning’s first consecutive start. Giants 27 Cowboys 24

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 43 9 0 82.7%
61-80% 163 89 1 64.6%
51-60% 84 68 1 55.2%
          290           166               2 63.5%
Expected Right       303.2 4.4%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 12 3 0 80.0%
61-80% 68 32 0 68.0%
51-60% 42 9 0 82.4%
           122             44              – 73.5%
Expected Right      123.65 1.3%
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Week 14 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 5, 2017 in NFL

The top five remains the same, although the Eagles lead is not as large as it was last week. Patriots are now Super Bowl favorites, followed closely by the Eagles, Vikings and Steelers.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 71.0% 12.8 100.0% >99% 27.5% 18.7%                  1 0
2 New England Patriots 70.9% 12.9 100.0% >99% 40.7% 19.2%                  2 0
3 New Orleans Saints 69.6% 11.8 82.5% 98.1% 16.7% 9.0%                  3 0
4 Minnesota Vikings 68.4% 12.7 99.9% >99% 26.4% 17.6%                  4 0
5 Los Angeles Rams 67.2% 11.6 86.1% 97.4% 15.2% 8.0%                  5 0
6 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.8% 10.8 77.2% 91.8% 12.0% 3.8%                  7 1
7 Carolina Panthers 62.0% 10.4 16.9% 85.5% 6.1% 2.7%                  6 -1
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.7% 12.4 97.2% >99% 33.6% 14.5%                  8 0
9 Baltimore Ravens 59.7% 9.8 2.8% 72.2% 4.6% 1.2%                12 3
10 Atlanta Falcons 58.0% 8.9 0.6% 45.9% 1.5% <1%                10 0
11 Seattle Seahawks 55.9% 10.0 13.9% 77.0% 4.4% 1.8%                15 4
12 Kansas City Chiefs 54.2% 8.6 57.5% 57.5% 1.6% <1%                  9 -3
13 Detroit Lions 53.9% 8.4 0.1% 32.9% <1% <1%                11 -2
14 Los Angeles Chargers 53.6% 8.3 36.6% 36.6% 1.1% <1%                13 -1
15 Dallas Cowboys 51.4% 7.9 0.0% 20.7% <1% <1%                19 4
16 Washington Redskins 50.6% 7.5 0.0% 11.7% <1% <1%                14 -2
17 Green Bay Packers 49.2% 7.7 0.0% 16.7% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Houston Texans 48.3% 6.1 0.0% 1.3% <1% <1%                16 -2
19 Buffalo Bills 44.8% 8.0 0.0% 22.7% <1% <1%                18 -1
20 Tennessee Titans 43.6% 9.8 22.8% 70.9% 5.1% 1.4%                23 3
21 Cincinnati Bengals 43.0% 6.5 0.0% 3.2% <1% <1%                21 0
22 New York Jets 42.1% 6.4 0.0% 2.4% <1% <1%                25 3
23 Miami Dolphins 41.0% 6.5 0.0% 2.9% <1% <1%                26 3
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41.0% 5.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                22 -2
25 Oakland Raiders 40.5% 7.2 5.9% 8.5% <1% <1%                24 -1
26 Chicago Bears 39.8% 4.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                20 -6
27 Arizona Cardinals 35.7% 6.6 0.0% 3.6% <1% <1%                27 0
28 New York Giants 32.7% 3.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                28 0
29 San Francisco 49ers 30.5% 3.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 1
30 Denver Broncos 29.8% 4.5 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 -1
31 Indianapolis Colts 27.2% 4.3 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 0
32 Cleveland Browns 26.2% 1.0 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 0