Archive for February, 2018

Week 16 Top 25

Posted: February 19, 2018 in NCAA

There was no change whatsoever in the top six. Cincinnati (6) jumped Auburn (7) and Nevada (10) enters the top ten as Tennessee (13) dropped four spots this week.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Virginia ACC 72.8% 23 – 2 26 – 4 15 – 3 1 0
2 Villanova BE 72.2% 24 – 3 26 – 5 13 – 5 2 0
3 Duke ACC 71.9% 22 – 5 25 – 6 13 – 5 3 0
4 Purdue B10 70.5% 24 – 5 25 – 6 14 – 4 4 0
5 North Carolina ACC 70.2% 21 – 7 23 – 8 12 – 6 5 0
6 Michigan St. B10 69.5% 26 – 3 27 – 4 15 – 3 6 0
7 Cincinnati Amer 68.7% 23 – 4 26 – 5 15 – 3 8 1
8 Auburn SEC 68.7% 23 – 4 25 – 6 13 – 5 7 -1
9 Xavier BE 68.0% 24 – 4 26 – 5 14 – 4 10 1
10 Nevada MWC 67.6% 23 – 5 26 – 6 15 – 3 12 2
11 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 22 – 5 24 – 7 12 – 6 13 2
12 Kansas B12 67.1% 21 – 6 23 – 8 12 – 6 11 -1
13 Tennessee SEC 66.7% 19 – 7 21 – 9 11 – 7 9 -4
14 Rhode Island A10 66.7% 21 – 4 24 – 5 16 – 2 17 3
15 TCU B12 66.6% 18 – 9 20 – 11 8 – 10 16 1
16 Gonzaga WCC 66.4% 25 – 4 26 – 5 16 – 2 14 -2
17 Wichita St. Amer 66.1% 21 – 5 23 – 7 13 – 5 21 4
18 Clemson ACC 65.9% 20 – 6 22 – 8 11 – 7 19 1
19 Ohio St. B10 65.6% 22 – 7 23 – 8 14 – 4 15 -4
20 Texas A&M SEC 65.3% 17 – 10 19 – 12 8 – 10 18 -2
21 Kentucky SEC 65.3% 18 – 9 20 – 11 9 – 9 27 6
22 Arizona P12 65.2% 21 – 5 24 – 7 14 – 4 22 0
23 Maryland B10 64.8% 17 – 11 18 – 12 8 – 10 24 1
24 Florida St. ACC 64.6% 19 – 8 20 – 10 9 – 9 20 -4
25 West Virginia B12 64.4% 20 – 8 22 – 9 11 – 7 32 7

Dropped Out: Seton Hall, Butler

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Week 15 Bracketology

Posted: February 13, 2018 in NCAA

Hello everyone! For the first time ever I present to you Bracketology! I used projected conference champions to determine the 32 automatic bids and then used a strength of record calculation (based on my statistics) to determine the 36 at-large teams. I then seeded the teams using a combination of strength of record and power rankings. I did use the seeding rules that the NCAA uses when seeding teams and placing them into the bracket (I learned these rules in a 2015 Bracketology course taught by Joe Lunardi).

South (Top Left Region)

1) Virginia vs. 16) UNC Asheville/North Carolina A&T

8) Arizona State vs. 9) Missouri

5) TCU vs. 12) Loyola (IL)

4) Rhode Island vs. 13) Old Dominion/Murray State

6) Seton Hall vs. 11) Vermont

3) Tennessee vs. 14) Belmont

7) Oklahoma vs. 10) Syracuse

2) Cincinnati vs. 15) Rider

East (Top Right Region)

1) Villanova vs. 16) Nicholls State/Arkansas Pine Bluff

8) Louisville vs. 9) Michigan

5) Clemson vs. 12) Buffalo

4) Ohio State vs. 13) Nebraska/BYU

6) Arizona vs. 11) Boise State

3) Kansas vs. 14) South Dakota State

7) Saint Mary’s vs. 10) Virginia Tech

2) Auburn vs. 15) Florida Gulf Coast

Midwest (Bottom Right Region)

1) Duke vs. 16) Harvard

8) West Virginia vs. 9) Middle Tennessee

5) Florida State vs. 12) Louisiana-Lafayette

4) Gonzaga vs. 13) East Tennessee State

6) Wichita State vs. 11) Western Kentucky

3) Xavier vs. 14) Bucknell

7) Butler vs. 10) Arkansas

2) Michigan State vs. 15) UC Santa Barbara

West (Bottom Left Region)

1) Purdue vs. 16) Wagner

8) Miami (FL) vs. 9) Florida

5) Texas A&M vs. 12) St. Bonaventure

4) Texas Tech vs. 13) Northern Kentucky

6) Creighton vs. 11) New Mexico State

3) Nevada vs. 14) Montana

7) Kentucky vs. 10) Houston

2) North Carolina vs. 15) College of Charleston

Conference Bids Summary

ACC – 9, SEC – 7, Big East – 5, Big Ten – 5, Big 12 – 5, American – 3, WCC – 3, CUSA – 3, OVC – 2, Pacific 12 – 2, Atlantic 10 – 2, Mountain West – 2

Last Four In/First Four Out

Last Four In: Old Dominion, Nebraska, BYU, Murray State

First Four Out: South Dakota, Alabama, Kansas State, Mississippi State

 

Week 15 Top 25

Posted: February 11, 2018 in NCAA

Only a few weeks remaining until the end of the regular season and Virginia and Villanova have been jockeying back and forth for the number one spot for the last several weeks. Normal powerhouses of Duke, UNC and Michigan State have also been consistently near the top as well as teams like Purdue, Auburn, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Xavier who are all having strong years.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Virginia ACC 73.1% 22 – 2 26 – 4 15 – 3 2 1
2 Villanova BE 72.6% 23 – 2 26 – 5 13 – 5 1 -1
3 Duke ACC 71.5% 20 – 5 24 – 7 12 – 6 3 0
4 Purdue B10 71.4% 23 – 4 26 – 5 15 – 3 4 0
5 North Carolina ACC 69.9% 19 – 7 22 – 9 11 – 7 6 1
6 Michigan St. B10 69.4% 24 – 3 26 – 5 14 – 4 8 2
7 Auburn SEC 69.3% 22 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 7 0
8 Cincinnati Amer 68.6% 23 – 2 27 – 4 16 – 2 11 3
9 Tennessee SEC 68.3% 18 – 6 22 – 8 12 – 6 5 -4
10 Xavier BE 68.3% 23 – 3 26 – 5 14 – 4 10 0
11 Kansas B12 67.5% 19 – 6 22 – 9 11 – 7 9 -2
12 Nevada MWC 67.3% 21 – 5 25 – 7 14 – 4 12 0
13 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 21 – 4 24 – 7 12 – 6 14 1
14 Gonzaga WCC 67.2% 23 – 4 26 – 5 16 – 2 15 1
15 Ohio St. B10 66.9% 22 – 5 24 – 7 15 – 3 20 5
16 TCU B12 66.9% 17 – 8 20 – 11 8 – 10 16 0
17 Rhode Island A10 66.9% 20 – 3 24 – 5 16 – 2 13 -4
18 Texas A&M SEC 66.3% 17 – 8 20 – 11 9 – 9 29 11
19 Clemson ACC 66.1% 20 – 4 23 – 7 12 – 6 18 -1
20 Florida St. ACC 66.0% 17 – 8 20 – 10 9 – 9 19 -1
21 Wichita St. Amer 65.8% 19 – 5 22 – 8 12 – 6 27 6
22 Arizona P12 65.5% 20 – 5 23 – 8 13 – 5 23 1
23 Seton Hall BE 65.3% 17 – 8 20 – 11 9 – 9 17 -6
24 Maryland B10 65.3% 16 – 10 18 – 12 8 – 10 31 7
25 Butler BE 65.3% 17 – 9 20 – 11 10 – 8 26 1

Dropped Out: Kentucky (21), Oklahoma (22), Creighton (24), Texas (25)

Week 14 Mid Major 15

Posted: February 7, 2018 in NCAA

 

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Nevada MWC 67.5% 20 – 4 25 – 7 14 – 4 1 0
2 Rhode Island A10 67.3% 19 – 3 23 – 6 15 – 3 3 +1
3 Gonzaga WCC 66.9% 21 – 4 25 – 6 15 – 3 2 -1
4 Saint Mary’s WCC 65.2% 23 – 2 27 – 4 16 – 2 5 +1
5 Middle Tennessee CUSA 64.6% 17 – 5 22 – 7 15 – 3 4 -1
6 Western Kentucky CUSA 62.6% 15 – 7 20 – 10 13 – 5 6 0
7 Vermont AE 62.2% 18 – 5 23 – 7 14 – 2 8 +1
8 New Mexico St. WAC 62.0% 17 – 3 22 – 5 12 – 2 7 -1
9 Boise St. MWC 61.8% 19 – 4 22 – 7 13 – 5 10 +1
10 Buffalo MAC 60.7% 17 – 6 22 – 8 15 – 3 11 +1
11 St. Bonaventure A10 60.3% 16 – 6 21 – 9 11 – 7 9 -2
12 Louisiana Lafayette SB 60.1% 18 – 3 23 – 6 15 – 3 13 +1
13 San Diego St. MWC 59.8% 12 – 9 16 – 12 9 – 9 NR
14 BYU WCC 59.8% 18 – 7 22 – 9 11 – 7 12 -2
15 Loyola Chicago MVC 59.5% 18 – 5 21 – 8 12 – 6 NR

Dropped Out: Northern Kentucky (14), Old Dominion (15)

Week 14 NCAA Top 25

Posted: February 5, 2018 in NCAA

 

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Villanova BE 73.9% 22 – 1 27 – 4 14 – 4 1 0
2 Virginia ACC 72.8% 21 – 1 26 – 4 15 – 3 4 2
3 Duke ACC 71.7% 19 – 4 24 – 7 12 – 6 2 -1
4 Purdue B10 71.6% 23 – 2 27 – 4 16 – 2 3 -1
5 Tennessee SEC 70.0% 17 – 5 21 – 9 11 – 7 7 2
6 North Carolina ACC 69.9% 17 – 7 21 – 10 10 – 8 5 -1
7 Auburn SEC 69.5% 21 – 2 26 – 5 14 – 4 8 1
8 Michigan St. B10 69.3% 22 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 6 -2
9 Kansas B12 68.3% 18 – 5 22 – 9 11 – 7 9 0
10 Xavier BE 67.8% 21 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 10 0
11 Cincinnati Amer 67.6% 21 – 2 26 – 5 15 – 3 16 5
12 Nevada MWC 67.4% 20 – 4 25 – 7 14 – 4 11 -1
13 Rhode Island A10 67.3% 19 – 3 23 – 6 15 – 3 14 1
14 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 19 – 4 23 – 8 11 – 7 15 1
15 Gonzaga WCC 67.0% 21 – 4 25 – 6 15 – 3 18 3
16 TCU B12 66.7% 16 – 7 20 – 11 8 – 10 12 -4
17 Seton Hall BE 66.6% 17 – 6 21 – 10 10 – 8 23 6
18 Clemson ACC 66.4% 19 – 4 23 – 7 12 – 6 21 3
19 Florida St. ACC 66.4% 17 – 6 21 – 9 10 – 8 20 1
20 Ohio St. B10 66.3% 20 – 5 23 – 8 14 – 4 24 4
21 Kentucky SEC 66.0% 17 – 6 21 – 10 10 – 8 13 -8
22 Oklahoma B12 66.0% 16 – 6 20 – 10 10 – 8 17 -5
23 Arizona P12 65.8% 19 – 4 24 – 7 14 – 4 26 3
24 Creighton BE 65.6% 17 – 6 21 – 9 11 – 7 27 3
25 Texas B12 65.5% 15 – 8 19 – 12 9 – 9 31 6