Archive for the ‘NCAA’ Category

Week 16 Top 25

Posted: February 19, 2018 in NCAA

There was no change whatsoever in the top six. Cincinnati (6) jumped Auburn (7) and Nevada (10) enters the top ten as Tennessee (13) dropped four spots this week.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Virginia ACC 72.8% 23 – 2 26 – 4 15 – 3 1 0
2 Villanova BE 72.2% 24 – 3 26 – 5 13 – 5 2 0
3 Duke ACC 71.9% 22 – 5 25 – 6 13 – 5 3 0
4 Purdue B10 70.5% 24 – 5 25 – 6 14 – 4 4 0
5 North Carolina ACC 70.2% 21 – 7 23 – 8 12 – 6 5 0
6 Michigan St. B10 69.5% 26 – 3 27 – 4 15 – 3 6 0
7 Cincinnati Amer 68.7% 23 – 4 26 – 5 15 – 3 8 1
8 Auburn SEC 68.7% 23 – 4 25 – 6 13 – 5 7 -1
9 Xavier BE 68.0% 24 – 4 26 – 5 14 – 4 10 1
10 Nevada MWC 67.6% 23 – 5 26 – 6 15 – 3 12 2
11 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 22 – 5 24 – 7 12 – 6 13 2
12 Kansas B12 67.1% 21 – 6 23 – 8 12 – 6 11 -1
13 Tennessee SEC 66.7% 19 – 7 21 – 9 11 – 7 9 -4
14 Rhode Island A10 66.7% 21 – 4 24 – 5 16 – 2 17 3
15 TCU B12 66.6% 18 – 9 20 – 11 8 – 10 16 1
16 Gonzaga WCC 66.4% 25 – 4 26 – 5 16 – 2 14 -2
17 Wichita St. Amer 66.1% 21 – 5 23 – 7 13 – 5 21 4
18 Clemson ACC 65.9% 20 – 6 22 – 8 11 – 7 19 1
19 Ohio St. B10 65.6% 22 – 7 23 – 8 14 – 4 15 -4
20 Texas A&M SEC 65.3% 17 – 10 19 – 12 8 – 10 18 -2
21 Kentucky SEC 65.3% 18 – 9 20 – 11 9 – 9 27 6
22 Arizona P12 65.2% 21 – 5 24 – 7 14 – 4 22 0
23 Maryland B10 64.8% 17 – 11 18 – 12 8 – 10 24 1
24 Florida St. ACC 64.6% 19 – 8 20 – 10 9 – 9 20 -4
25 West Virginia B12 64.4% 20 – 8 22 – 9 11 – 7 32 7

Dropped Out: Seton Hall, Butler

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Week 15 Bracketology

Posted: February 13, 2018 in NCAA

Hello everyone! For the first time ever I present to you Bracketology! I used projected conference champions to determine the 32 automatic bids and then used a strength of record calculation (based on my statistics) to determine the 36 at-large teams. I then seeded the teams using a combination of strength of record and power rankings. I did use the seeding rules that the NCAA uses when seeding teams and placing them into the bracket (I learned these rules in a 2015 Bracketology course taught by Joe Lunardi).

South (Top Left Region)

1) Virginia vs. 16) UNC Asheville/North Carolina A&T

8) Arizona State vs. 9) Missouri

5) TCU vs. 12) Loyola (IL)

4) Rhode Island vs. 13) Old Dominion/Murray State

6) Seton Hall vs. 11) Vermont

3) Tennessee vs. 14) Belmont

7) Oklahoma vs. 10) Syracuse

2) Cincinnati vs. 15) Rider

East (Top Right Region)

1) Villanova vs. 16) Nicholls State/Arkansas Pine Bluff

8) Louisville vs. 9) Michigan

5) Clemson vs. 12) Buffalo

4) Ohio State vs. 13) Nebraska/BYU

6) Arizona vs. 11) Boise State

3) Kansas vs. 14) South Dakota State

7) Saint Mary’s vs. 10) Virginia Tech

2) Auburn vs. 15) Florida Gulf Coast

Midwest (Bottom Right Region)

1) Duke vs. 16) Harvard

8) West Virginia vs. 9) Middle Tennessee

5) Florida State vs. 12) Louisiana-Lafayette

4) Gonzaga vs. 13) East Tennessee State

6) Wichita State vs. 11) Western Kentucky

3) Xavier vs. 14) Bucknell

7) Butler vs. 10) Arkansas

2) Michigan State vs. 15) UC Santa Barbara

West (Bottom Left Region)

1) Purdue vs. 16) Wagner

8) Miami (FL) vs. 9) Florida

5) Texas A&M vs. 12) St. Bonaventure

4) Texas Tech vs. 13) Northern Kentucky

6) Creighton vs. 11) New Mexico State

3) Nevada vs. 14) Montana

7) Kentucky vs. 10) Houston

2) North Carolina vs. 15) College of Charleston

Conference Bids Summary

ACC – 9, SEC – 7, Big East – 5, Big Ten – 5, Big 12 – 5, American – 3, WCC – 3, CUSA – 3, OVC – 2, Pacific 12 – 2, Atlantic 10 – 2, Mountain West – 2

Last Four In/First Four Out

Last Four In: Old Dominion, Nebraska, BYU, Murray State

First Four Out: South Dakota, Alabama, Kansas State, Mississippi State

 

Week 15 Top 25

Posted: February 11, 2018 in NCAA

Only a few weeks remaining until the end of the regular season and Virginia and Villanova have been jockeying back and forth for the number one spot for the last several weeks. Normal powerhouses of Duke, UNC and Michigan State have also been consistently near the top as well as teams like Purdue, Auburn, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Xavier who are all having strong years.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Virginia ACC 73.1% 22 – 2 26 – 4 15 – 3 2 1
2 Villanova BE 72.6% 23 – 2 26 – 5 13 – 5 1 -1
3 Duke ACC 71.5% 20 – 5 24 – 7 12 – 6 3 0
4 Purdue B10 71.4% 23 – 4 26 – 5 15 – 3 4 0
5 North Carolina ACC 69.9% 19 – 7 22 – 9 11 – 7 6 1
6 Michigan St. B10 69.4% 24 – 3 26 – 5 14 – 4 8 2
7 Auburn SEC 69.3% 22 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 7 0
8 Cincinnati Amer 68.6% 23 – 2 27 – 4 16 – 2 11 3
9 Tennessee SEC 68.3% 18 – 6 22 – 8 12 – 6 5 -4
10 Xavier BE 68.3% 23 – 3 26 – 5 14 – 4 10 0
11 Kansas B12 67.5% 19 – 6 22 – 9 11 – 7 9 -2
12 Nevada MWC 67.3% 21 – 5 25 – 7 14 – 4 12 0
13 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 21 – 4 24 – 7 12 – 6 14 1
14 Gonzaga WCC 67.2% 23 – 4 26 – 5 16 – 2 15 1
15 Ohio St. B10 66.9% 22 – 5 24 – 7 15 – 3 20 5
16 TCU B12 66.9% 17 – 8 20 – 11 8 – 10 16 0
17 Rhode Island A10 66.9% 20 – 3 24 – 5 16 – 2 13 -4
18 Texas A&M SEC 66.3% 17 – 8 20 – 11 9 – 9 29 11
19 Clemson ACC 66.1% 20 – 4 23 – 7 12 – 6 18 -1
20 Florida St. ACC 66.0% 17 – 8 20 – 10 9 – 9 19 -1
21 Wichita St. Amer 65.8% 19 – 5 22 – 8 12 – 6 27 6
22 Arizona P12 65.5% 20 – 5 23 – 8 13 – 5 23 1
23 Seton Hall BE 65.3% 17 – 8 20 – 11 9 – 9 17 -6
24 Maryland B10 65.3% 16 – 10 18 – 12 8 – 10 31 7
25 Butler BE 65.3% 17 – 9 20 – 11 10 – 8 26 1

Dropped Out: Kentucky (21), Oklahoma (22), Creighton (24), Texas (25)

Week 14 Mid Major 15

Posted: February 7, 2018 in NCAA

 

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Nevada MWC 67.5% 20 – 4 25 – 7 14 – 4 1 0
2 Rhode Island A10 67.3% 19 – 3 23 – 6 15 – 3 3 +1
3 Gonzaga WCC 66.9% 21 – 4 25 – 6 15 – 3 2 -1
4 Saint Mary’s WCC 65.2% 23 – 2 27 – 4 16 – 2 5 +1
5 Middle Tennessee CUSA 64.6% 17 – 5 22 – 7 15 – 3 4 -1
6 Western Kentucky CUSA 62.6% 15 – 7 20 – 10 13 – 5 6 0
7 Vermont AE 62.2% 18 – 5 23 – 7 14 – 2 8 +1
8 New Mexico St. WAC 62.0% 17 – 3 22 – 5 12 – 2 7 -1
9 Boise St. MWC 61.8% 19 – 4 22 – 7 13 – 5 10 +1
10 Buffalo MAC 60.7% 17 – 6 22 – 8 15 – 3 11 +1
11 St. Bonaventure A10 60.3% 16 – 6 21 – 9 11 – 7 9 -2
12 Louisiana Lafayette SB 60.1% 18 – 3 23 – 6 15 – 3 13 +1
13 San Diego St. MWC 59.8% 12 – 9 16 – 12 9 – 9 NR
14 BYU WCC 59.8% 18 – 7 22 – 9 11 – 7 12 -2
15 Loyola Chicago MVC 59.5% 18 – 5 21 – 8 12 – 6 NR

Dropped Out: Northern Kentucky (14), Old Dominion (15)

Week 14 NCAA Top 25

Posted: February 5, 2018 in NCAA

 

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Villanova BE 73.9% 22 – 1 27 – 4 14 – 4 1 0
2 Virginia ACC 72.8% 21 – 1 26 – 4 15 – 3 4 2
3 Duke ACC 71.7% 19 – 4 24 – 7 12 – 6 2 -1
4 Purdue B10 71.6% 23 – 2 27 – 4 16 – 2 3 -1
5 Tennessee SEC 70.0% 17 – 5 21 – 9 11 – 7 7 2
6 North Carolina ACC 69.9% 17 – 7 21 – 10 10 – 8 5 -1
7 Auburn SEC 69.5% 21 – 2 26 – 5 14 – 4 8 1
8 Michigan St. B10 69.3% 22 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 6 -2
9 Kansas B12 68.3% 18 – 5 22 – 9 11 – 7 9 0
10 Xavier BE 67.8% 21 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 10 0
11 Cincinnati Amer 67.6% 21 – 2 26 – 5 15 – 3 16 5
12 Nevada MWC 67.4% 20 – 4 25 – 7 14 – 4 11 -1
13 Rhode Island A10 67.3% 19 – 3 23 – 6 15 – 3 14 1
14 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 19 – 4 23 – 8 11 – 7 15 1
15 Gonzaga WCC 67.0% 21 – 4 25 – 6 15 – 3 18 3
16 TCU B12 66.7% 16 – 7 20 – 11 8 – 10 12 -4
17 Seton Hall BE 66.6% 17 – 6 21 – 10 10 – 8 23 6
18 Clemson ACC 66.4% 19 – 4 23 – 7 12 – 6 21 3
19 Florida St. ACC 66.4% 17 – 6 21 – 9 10 – 8 20 1
20 Ohio St. B10 66.3% 20 – 5 23 – 8 14 – 4 24 4
21 Kentucky SEC 66.0% 17 – 6 21 – 10 10 – 8 13 -8
22 Oklahoma B12 66.0% 16 – 6 20 – 10 10 – 8 17 -5
23 Arizona P12 65.8% 19 – 4 24 – 7 14 – 4 26 3
24 Creighton BE 65.6% 17 – 6 21 – 9 11 – 7 27 3
25 Texas B12 65.5% 15 – 8 19 – 12 9 – 9 31 6

Week 13 Mid Major 15

Posted: January 31, 2018 in NCAA

Nevada takes the #1 spot as Rhode IslandĀ  falls to #3.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Nevada MWC 68.3% 18 – 3 25 – 7 14 – 4 2 +1
2 Gonzaga WCC 66.9% 19 – 4 24 – 7 14 – 4 3 -1
3 Rhode Island A10 66.5% 17 – 3 22 – 7 14 – 4 1 -2
4 Middle Tennessee CUSA 64.9% 15 – 5 21 – 8 14 – 4 5 +1
5 Saint Mary’s WCC 64.4% 21 – 2 26 – 5 15 – 3 4 -1
6 Western Kentucky CUSA 63.7% 14 – 6 20 – 10 13 – 5 6 0
7 New Mexico St. WAC 61.4% 16 – 3 21 – 6 11 – 3 9 +2
8 Vermont AE 61.3% 15 – 5 22 – 8 13 – 3 12 +4
9 St. Bonaventure A10 61.1% 13 – 6 20 – 10 10 – 8 10 +1
10 Boise St. MWC 61.1% 16 – 4 21 – 8 12 – 6 7 -3
11 Buffalo MAC 60.6% 15 – 6 21 – 9 14 – 4 8 -3
12 BYU WCC 60.1% 18 – 5 22 – 9 11 – 7 14 +2
13 Louisiana Lafayette SB 59.7% 17 – 3 22 – 7 14 – 4 15 +2
14 Northern Kentucky Horz 59.6% 13 – 7 18 – 10 13 – 5 13 -1
15 Old Dominion CUSA 59.1% 16 – 4 22 – 8 13 – 5 NR

Dropped out: San Diego St. (11)

Week 13 Top 25

Posted: January 30, 2018 in NCAA

A day late because I was at the Bucks game last night.. 4-0 in the Prunty era.

 

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Villanova BE 73.6% 20 – 1 26 – 5 13 – 5 1 0
2 Duke ACC 72.4% 18 – 3 24 – 7 11 – 7 3 1
3 Purdue B10 72.3% 21 – 2 26 – 5 15 – 3 2 -1
4 Virginia ACC 71.9% 19 – 1 25 – 5 14 – 4 5 1
5 North Carolina ACC 69.8% 16 – 6 21 – 10 10 – 8 4 -1
6 Michigan St. B10 69.8% 20 – 3 25 – 6 13 – 5 7 1
7 Tennessee SEC 69.5% 15 – 5 21 – 9 11 – 7 6 -1
8 Auburn SEC 69.5% 18 – 2 24 – 7 12 – 6 10 2
9 Kansas B12 69.4% 17 – 4 23 – 8 12 – 6 8 -1
10 Xavier BE 68.3% 18 – 3 24 – 7 12 – 6 9 -1
11 Nevada MWC 68.2% 18 – 3 25 – 7 14 – 4 14 3
12 TCU B12 67.4% 15 – 6 20 – 11 8 – 10 13 1
13 Kentucky SEC 67.4% 16 – 5 21 – 10 10 – 8 23 10
14 Rhode Island A10 67.2% 16 – 3 22 – 7 14 – 4 11 -3
15 Texas Tech B12 67.2% 17 – 4 22 – 9 10 – 8 18 3
16 Cincinnati Amer 67.1% 18 – 2 24 – 7 13 – 5 22 6
17 Oklahoma B12 67.1% 15 – 5 20 – 10 10 – 8 16 -1
18 Gonzaga WCC 67.0% 19 – 4 24 – 7 14 – 4 15 -3
19 Florida SEC 66.6% 15 – 5 21 – 10 12 – 6 25 6
20 Florida St. ACC 66.4% 15 – 5 20 – 10 9 – 9 20 0
21 Clemson ACC 66.3% 17 – 4 22 – 8 11 – 7 17 -4
22 Wichita St. Amer 66.3% 17 – 4 22 – 8 12 – 6 28 6
23 Seton Hall BE 66.2% 16 – 5 21 – 10 10 – 8 26 3
24 Ohio St. B10 66.2% 18 – 5 22 – 9 13 – 5 19 -5
25 West Virginia B12 65.9% 17 – 5 22 – 9 11 – 7 12 -13

Week 12 Mid Major 15

Posted: January 24, 2018 in NCAA

Rhode Island takes the number one spot from Gonzaga after they continue to perform strongly.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Rhode Island A10 68.3% 15 – 3 22 – 7 14 – 4 3 1
2 Nevada MWC 68.2% 18 – 3 25 – 7 14 – 4 2 0
3 Gonzaga WCC 67.7% 17 – 4 23 – 8 13 – 5 1 -2
4 Saint Mary’s WCC 64.3% 19 – 2 26 – 5 15 – 3 4 0
5 Middle Tennessee CUSA 64.0% 13 – 5 20 – 9 13 – 5 6 1
6 Western Kentucky CUSA 63.6% 13 – 6 20 – 10 13 – 5 5 -1
7 Boise St. MWC 62.9% 15 – 4 21 – 8 12 – 6 7 0
8 Buffalo MAC 61.6% 14 – 5 21 – 9 14 – 4 9 1
9 New Mexico St. WAC 61.2% 15 – 3 21 – 6 11 – 3 11 2
10 St. Bonaventure A10 60.7% 12 – 6 19 – 11 9 – 9 10 0
11 San Diego St. MWC 60.6% 10 – 7 16 – 12 9 – 9 8 -3
12 Vermont AE 60.6% 15 – 5 22 – 8 13 – 3 13 1
13 Northern Kentucky Horz 60.5% 12 – 6 19 – 9 14 – 4 12 -1
14 BYU WCC 59.3% 17 – 4 22 – 9 11 – 7 14 0
15 Louisiana Lafayette SB 58.9% 15 – 3 22 – 7 14 – 4 NR

Dropped out: Northern Iowa (15)

Week 12 NCAA Top 25

Posted: January 22, 2018 in NCAA

The top five teams all remain the same but North Carolina jumped Virginia to move into fourth overall. Clemson, Ohio State, Cincinnati and Florida all join the top twenty-five as Seton Hall, Wichita State, Arizona State and Arkansas all dropped out of the rankings.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Villanova BE 73.5% 18 – 1 26 – 5 13 – 5 1 0
2 Purdue B10 72.7% 19 – 2 25 – 6 14 – 4 2 0
3 Duke ACC 72.1% 17 – 2 24 – 7 12 – 6 3 0
4 North Carolina ACC 71.9% 16 – 4 22 – 9 11 – 7 5 1
5 Virginia ACC 71.7% 17 – 1 24 – 6 13 – 5 4 -1
6 Tennessee SEC 70.1% 13 – 5 20 – 10 11 – 7 6 0
7 Michigan St. B10 69.7% 17 – 3 23 – 8 11 – 7 9 2
8 Kansas B12 69.6% 16 – 3 23 – 8 12 – 6 8 0
9 Xavier BE 68.9% 18 – 3 24 – 7 12 – 6 12 3
10 Auburn SEC 68.8% 17 – 2 24 – 7 12 – 6 11 1
11 Rhode Island A10 68.3% 15 – 3 22 – 7 14 – 4 16 5
12 West Virginia B12 68.3% 17 – 3 23 – 8 11 – 7 21 9
13 TCU B12 68.2% 14 – 5 21 – 10 8 – 10 15 2
14 Nevada MWC 68.2% 18 – 3 25 – 7 14 – 4 14 0
15 Gonzaga WCC 67.7% 17 – 4 23 – 8 13 – 5 13 -2
16 Oklahoma B12 67.5% 14 – 4 20 – 10 10 – 8 10 -6
17 Clemson ACC 67.3% 16 – 3 22 – 8 11 – 7 28 11
18 Texas Tech B12 67.3% 15 – 4 21 – 10 10 – 8 7 -11
19 Ohio St. B10 66.9% 17 – 4 23 – 8 14 – 4 26 7
20 Florida St. ACC 66.8% 14 – 5 20 – 10 9 – 9 24 4
21 Arizona P12 66.6% 16 – 4 23 – 8 13 – 5 18 -3
22 Cincinnati Amer 66.6% 17 – 2 24 – 7 13 – 5 30 8
23 Kentucky SEC 66.1% 14 – 5 20 – 11 10 – 8 17 -6
24 Creighton BE 66.0% 15 – 5 20 – 10 10 – 8 25 1
25 Florida SEC 66.0% 14 – 5 21 – 10 12 – 6 37 12

Week 11 Mid Major 15

Posted: January 17, 2018 in NCAA

Not much changes this week as the top five remain the same. New Mexico State had the most notable jump, rising four spots to eleventh.

Rank Team Conf POWER Record Proj. Record Proj. Conf Record Prev Movement
1 Gonzaga WCC 68.5% 16 – 3 24 – 7 14 – 4 1 0
2 Nevada MWC 68.2% 16 – 3 24 – 8 13 – 5 2 0
3 Rhode Island A10 67.6% 13 – 3 21 – 8 13 – 5 3 0
4 Saint Mary’s WCC 64.4% 17 – 2 24 – 7 13 – 5 4 0
5 Western Kentucky CUSA 63.6% 12 – 5 20 – 10 13 – 5 5 0
6 Middle Tennessee CUSA 63.6% 12 – 4 20 – 9 13 – 5 8 +2
7 Boise St. MWC 62.5% 14 – 3 21 – 8 12 – 6 6 -1
8 San Diego St. MWC 62.5% 10 – 5 18 – 10 11 – 7 7 -1
9 Buffalo MAC 60.8% 12 – 5 20 – 10 13 – 5 10 +1
10 St. Bonaventure A10 60.8% 12 – 5 20 – 10 10 – 8 9 -1
11 New Mexico St. WAC 60.5% 13 – 3 20 – 7 10 – 4 15 +4
12 Northern Kentucky Horz 59.7% 10 – 6 18 – 10 13 – 5 11 -1
13 Vermont AE 59.1% 13 – 5 21 – 9 12 – 4 12 -1
14 BYU WCC 58.8% 15 – 4 22 – 9 11 – 7 14 0
15 Northern Iowa MVC 58.8% 8 – 8 15 – 13 9 – 9 NR

Dropped Out: UNLV (13)