Archive for the ‘NCAAF’ Category

We made it. The regular season is over and we now have four good teams in Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State and Washington that will get to compete for all of the glory in the College Football Playoff. My system accurately picked the four teams for a third consecutive year and has yet to be wrong. However, just because the result was correct does not meet the system is without flaws-if either Clemson or Washington would have lost I would have had only three or two teams listed as ‘having a shot’ at the college football playoff. For this reason I plan to make some adjustments to the system I currently use to more accurately reflect the college football playoff race. Now that there have been three seasons of the playoff race I should be able to create a better system and therefore continue to be accurate for years to come. But that’s enough about fixing my system let’s talk about how we can fix college football.

I know a lot of people tend to disagree and think that college football is already a complete product and that expanding the playoff would just make the regular season less meaningful. However it cannot be ignored that the current format for determining a National Champion is brutally flawed. Two things that happen on a regular basis in college football is reward mediocrity and disregarding excellence.

I don’t know if any of you got the chance to see Jeff Walz’ (Louisville Women’s basketball coach) speech about participation trophies following loss to Maryland earlier this week. If you haven’t you should definitely watch it here. Walz goes in on participation trophies and the mental and social effect that these trophies can have. I know some bowl games carry a lot of legacy, history and meaning for some programs but with the current playoff system the bowl games are essentially just a participation trophy. They reward mediocrity (and sometimes sub-mediocrity) by allowing teams that were able to go a remarkable 6-6 with a trip to some cool place and one extra game that carries such little meaning that players headed to the draft will often sit out in order to avoid risk of injury. As previously stated, I understand the history and the legacy that some of the more prestigious bowls carry, and it would be a crime in most fans eyes to eliminate these but sometimes unpopular ideas need to be executed in order for progress and improvements to be made.

Western Michigan completed a 13-0 regular season on Friday in the MAC Championship with a win over Ohio and they will get to play in New Year’s Six game against Big Ten powerhouse Wisconsin. Given the current nature of the college football playoff system, this game carries a lot of meaning as it is WMU’s last chance to truly prove themselves as one of the best programs in the country. However, if they win and are finally able to prove themselves in the eyes of the public it won’t matter-there season will be over and they will never have gotten the fair chance they deserved at a national championship. I am certainly not a believer of equal outcome in sports (participation trophies), however, I am a firm believer in equal opportunity in sports and in everything. Equal opportunity is not something that college football currently has and it has been evidenced by the treatment of group of five undefeated’s over the last three years. The only way to ensure that teams like WMU get their fair shot is to ensure that conference champions, no matter the conference, get a shot at a national title. In speaking of conference champs not getting their fair shot, Penn St. really did get the shaft by the committee, as the conference champ of the best conference in college football this season it was a crime to leave them out. But they only had four spots and that is where the problem lies.

I am an advocate for a 16 team playoff and the removal of bowl games. Let us stop rewarding average seasons and let’s create a system that is fair to all 128 teams. The 16 team playoff would consist of 10 automatic bids for each conference and then 6 at-large bids for the next 6 best teams. I have seen other ideas like 4 super-conferences that I think would be awesome but are a long ways away from coming to fruition. The 16 team playoff also would probably take a while but it should happen as soon as possible. Wondering what a 16 team playoff would look like? I have provided a bracket below. I used the final playoff rankings for seeding and then used FPI to seed teams not ranked by committee. I think a 16 team playoff should feature home games for the higher seed in the first 2 rounds with the semifinal and national championship being held at neutral sites. Here is what we would have to look forward to:

16-team-playoff

This looks like a lot more fun than bowl games, and it is certainly a lot more meaningful.

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Week 13 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: November 23, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 5 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

The committee obviously disagrees with my satire, which makes this more of a joke than it already is. But anyways here we go. – update – committee doesn’t necessarily disagree, just has been forced into a situation they haven’t seen before.

Games this week

#4 Michigan @ #3 Ohio State

The winner is eliminated, loser can look forward to meaningless bowl game

Auburn @ #1 Alabama

Iron Bowl – Alabama clinches playoff trip with a win.

#2 Washington @ Washington State

Apple Cup – Trip to Pac-12 championship is on the line. Washington is Pac-12’s only chance at a playoff, they lose it throws a wrench into my satire, but I don’t think they lose this one.

South Carolina @ #5 Clemson

Clemson should win this one and move into top four.

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 4 teams. The minimum number of teams is 1-which kind of sucks but don’t worry, my system will prevail.
Now time for my rant about College Football and its current playoff system. College Football has the only playoff system in the entire world (that I know of) that doesn’t give every team a fair chance at the playoff. And you can argue all you want but it isn’t fair. Western Michigan is 11-0 and has won games by an average of 26 points and their closest game is a 1-point victory in Northwestern. Outside of that game they haven’t no team has been within 10 points of them. Regardless of schedule that is impressive. Do I think they could beat Alabama? Probably not. But the fact is we are never going to now because the current playoff system does not allow that question to be answered. This is why I am an advocate for a 16-team playoff with 10 autobids for all power 5 and group of 5 conference champions and then 6 additional at large bids. Could a game like Alabama vs. Troy get out of hand? Absolutely, but every team deserves an equal chance at a national championship. Plus bowl games are stupid and meaningless and we can get rid of them. Give the Top 8 seeds home field in the playoff if you want to reward regular season. Make this more interesting than it already is. When the committee finalizes their rankings and we have a four-team playoff I will publish the bracket of what a 16-team playoff would look like and you can decide which you would rather watch.

Week 12 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: November 16, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 7 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

The committee obviously disagrees with my satire, which makes this more of a joke than it already is. But anyways here we go.

True Elimination Games (0)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

NONE THIS WEEK

Elimination Games (6)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

#2 Louisville* @ Houston

Arizona St. @ #3 Washington*

#4 Ohio State* @ Michigan State

Indiana @ #5 Michigan*

Oklahoma @ #6 West Virginia*

#7 Clemson* @ Wake Forest

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 7 teams. The minimum number of teams is 1-which kind of sucks but don’t worry, my system will prevail.

Week 11 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: November 9, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 7 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

True Elimination Games (0)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

NONE THIS WEEK

Elimination Games (3)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

 

Wake Forest @ #5 Louisville*

#6 Ohio State* @ Maryland

#7 West Virginia* @ Texas

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 7 teams. The minimum number of teams is 4.

Week 10 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: November 3, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 11 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

Just some quick commentary on the initial CFP Rankings.. I am shocked, but shouldn’t be, about A&M being ahead of Washington. As in the first two years the committee starts out in search of best teams but then slowly shifts towards looking at the best, most-deserving teams. As long as Washington keeps they will get in. Wisconsin at 8 is probably most notable ranking to take a look at. A 2-loss Wisconsin that wins out and wins the B1G championship is probably the biggest threat to my methodology. It wouldn’t be ridiculous to see them in but like I said, most-deserving comes more into play later on, and two losses will be certainly be circled.

True Elimination Games (1)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

#6 Nebraska @ #9 Ohio State (Saturday, 7:00 PM CST, ABC)

Elimination Games (5)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

#5 Lousivlle* @ Boston College

#7 Florida* @ Arkansas

#8 Texas A&M* @ Arkansas

TCU @ #10 Baylor*

Kansas @ #11 West Virginia*

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 10 teams. The minimum number of teams is 5.

Week 9 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: October 26, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 12 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

True Elimination Games (0)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

None this week

Elimination Games (5)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

 

#8 Louisville* @ Virginia

#9 Florida* @ Georgia

New Mexico State vs. #10 Texas A&M*

#3 Washington @ #11 Utah*

Northwestern @ #12 Ohio State*

Power Games (0)

These are games between undefeated power-five teams. The loser is not eliminated but is one step closer to being eliminated.

None this week

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 12 teams. The minimum number of teams is 7.

Week 8 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: October 20, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 12 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

True Elimination Games (0)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

None this week

Elimination Games (2)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

NC State @ Louisville*

Utah* @ UCLA

 

Power Games (1)

These are games between undefeated power-five teams. The loser is not eliminated but is one step closer to being eliminated.

#2 Texas A&M @ #1 Alabama

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 12 teams. The minimum number of teams is 10.

Week 7 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: October 13, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 19 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

True Elimination Games (0)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

None this week

Elimination Games (10)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

Duke @ #10 Louisville*

#6 Ohio State @ #11 Wisconsin*

#5 Alabama @ #12 Tennessee*

Missouri @ #13 Florida*

North Carolina @ #14 Miami U*

#15 Virginia Tech* @ Syracuse

#16 Utah* @ Oregon State

#17 Arizona State* @ Colorado

#18 Wake Forest* @ Florida State

#19 Maryland* @ Minnesota

 

Power Games (0)

These are games between undefeated power-five teams. The loser is not eliminated but is one step closer to being eliminated.

None this week

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 19 teams. The minimum number of teams is 9.

Week 6 College Football Playoff Preview

Posted: October 6, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 26 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

True Elimination Games (1)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

Virginia Tech @ North Carolina (2:30 PM CST)

Elimination Games (10)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

Colorado* @ USC

LSU @ Florida*

Washington State @ Stanford*

Alabama @ Arkansas*

Iowa @ Minnesota*

Arizona @ Utah*

Texas Tech* @ Kansas State

UCLA @ Arizona State*

Syracuse @ Wake Forest*

Indiana* @ Ohio State

Power Games (1)

These are games between undefeated power-five teams. The loser is not eliminated but is one step closer to being eliminated.

 Tennessee @ Texas A&M

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 25 teams. The minimum number of teams is 15.

College Football Playoff Week 5 Preview

Posted: September 29, 2016 in NCAAF

There are 33 teams remaining in contention for the College Football Playoff.

True Elimination Games (2)

True elimination games are where the winner survives another week and the loser is eliminated from contention. I will provide the days and times for these games.

North Carolina @ Florida State (2:30 PM CST, ESPN)

Indiana @ Michigan State (7:00 PM CST, BTN)

Elimination Games (9)

Elimination games are when one team in the game would be eliminated with a loss. That team will be denoted with an asterisk. The other team has either already been eliminated, or can lose the game without being eliminated.

Alcorn State @ Arkansas*

Oregon State @ Colorado*

Florida* @ Vanderbilt

Tennessee @ Georgia*

Miami @ Georgia Tech*

Kansas State* @ West Virginia

Oklahoma @ TCU*

Texas* @ Oklahoma State

Kansas @ Texas Tech*

Power Games (3)

These are games between undefeated power-five teams. The loser is not eliminated but is one step closer to being eliminated.

Louisville @ Clemson
Wisconsin @ Michigan

Stanford @ Washington

The maximum number of teams that could remain in contention for the college football playoff after this week is 31 teams. The minimum number of teams is 22.