Archive for the ‘NFL’ Category

Week 14 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 7, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Atlanta Falcons 42.5% New Orleans Saints 57.5%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 72.7% Indianapolis Colts 27.3%
Sun 12:00 Carolina Panthers 47.9% Minnesota Vikings 52.1%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 58.2% Chicago Bears 41.8%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 30.9% Green Bay Packers 69.1%
Sun 12:00 Houston Texans 72.2% San Francisco 49ers 27.8%
Sun 12:00 Kansas City Chiefs 68.0% Oakland Raiders 32.0%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 36.0% Dallas Cowboys 64.0%
Sun 12:00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 42.0% Detroit Lions 58.0%
Sun 3:05 Arizona Cardinals 46.7% Tennessee Titans 53.3%
Sun 3:05 Denver Broncos 41.6% New York Jets 58.4%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Chargers 58.0% Washington Redskins 42.0%
Sun 3:25 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.0% Seattle Seahawks 35.0%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Rams 50.6% Philadelphia Eagles 49.4%
Sun 7:30 Pittsburgh Steelers 55.0% Baltimore Ravens 45.0%
Mon 7:30 Miami Dolphins 25.8% New England Patriots 74.2%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (8-5) – There are a handful of games that are worth watching this week. I have chosen the Ravens and the Steelers on Sunday night. Anytime these teams play it seems to be a close, hard-fought game and this game should be no different. Steelers 17 Ravens 14

Lock of the week (9-4) – Patriots over Dolphins. Patriots 38 Dolphins 10

Upset of the week (7-6) – Giants shock the Cowboys at home in Eli Manning’s first consecutive start. Giants 27 Cowboys 24

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 43 9 0 82.7%
61-80% 163 89 1 64.6%
51-60% 84 68 1 55.2%
          290           166               2 63.5%
Expected Right       303.2 4.4%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 12 3 0 80.0%
61-80% 68 32 0 68.0%
51-60% 42 9 0 82.4%
           122             44              – 73.5%
Expected Right      123.65 1.3%
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Week 14 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: December 5, 2017 in NFL

The top five remains the same, although the Eagles lead is not as large as it was last week. Patriots are now Super Bowl favorites, followed closely by the Eagles, Vikings and Steelers.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 71.0% 12.8 100.0% >99% 27.5% 18.7%                  1 0
2 New England Patriots 70.9% 12.9 100.0% >99% 40.7% 19.2%                  2 0
3 New Orleans Saints 69.6% 11.8 82.5% 98.1% 16.7% 9.0%                  3 0
4 Minnesota Vikings 68.4% 12.7 99.9% >99% 26.4% 17.6%                  4 0
5 Los Angeles Rams 67.2% 11.6 86.1% 97.4% 15.2% 8.0%                  5 0
6 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.8% 10.8 77.2% 91.8% 12.0% 3.8%                  7 1
7 Carolina Panthers 62.0% 10.4 16.9% 85.5% 6.1% 2.7%                  6 -1
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.7% 12.4 97.2% >99% 33.6% 14.5%                  8 0
9 Baltimore Ravens 59.7% 9.8 2.8% 72.2% 4.6% 1.2%                12 3
10 Atlanta Falcons 58.0% 8.9 0.6% 45.9% 1.5% <1%                10 0
11 Seattle Seahawks 55.9% 10.0 13.9% 77.0% 4.4% 1.8%                15 4
12 Kansas City Chiefs 54.2% 8.6 57.5% 57.5% 1.6% <1%                  9 -3
13 Detroit Lions 53.9% 8.4 0.1% 32.9% <1% <1%                11 -2
14 Los Angeles Chargers 53.6% 8.3 36.6% 36.6% 1.1% <1%                13 -1
15 Dallas Cowboys 51.4% 7.9 0.0% 20.7% <1% <1%                19 4
16 Washington Redskins 50.6% 7.5 0.0% 11.7% <1% <1%                14 -2
17 Green Bay Packers 49.2% 7.7 0.0% 16.7% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Houston Texans 48.3% 6.1 0.0% 1.3% <1% <1%                16 -2
19 Buffalo Bills 44.8% 8.0 0.0% 22.7% <1% <1%                18 -1
20 Tennessee Titans 43.6% 9.8 22.8% 70.9% 5.1% 1.4%                23 3
21 Cincinnati Bengals 43.0% 6.5 0.0% 3.2% <1% <1%                21 0
22 New York Jets 42.1% 6.4 0.0% 2.4% <1% <1%                25 3
23 Miami Dolphins 41.0% 6.5 0.0% 2.9% <1% <1%                26 3
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41.0% 5.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                22 -2
25 Oakland Raiders 40.5% 7.2 5.9% 8.5% <1% <1%                24 -1
26 Chicago Bears 39.8% 4.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                20 -6
27 Arizona Cardinals 35.7% 6.6 0.0% 3.6% <1% <1%                27 0
28 New York Giants 32.7% 3.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                28 0
29 San Francisco 49ers 30.5% 3.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 1
30 Denver Broncos 29.8% 4.5 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 -1
31 Indianapolis Colts 27.2% 4.3 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 0
32 Cleveland Browns 26.2% 1.0 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 0

Week 13 NFL Preview

Posted: November 29, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Dallas Cowboys 48.3% Washington Redskins 51.7%
Sun 12:00 Atlanta Falcons 44.3% Minnesota Vikings 55.7%
Sun 12:00 Baltimore Ravens 53.6% Detroit Lions 46.4%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 33.1% New England Patriots 66.9%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 67.0% San Francisco 49ers 33.0%
Sun 12:00 Green Bay Packers 61.0% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 39.0%
Sun 12:00 Jacksonville Jaguars 85.9% Indianapolis Colts 14.1%
Sun 12:00 Miami Dolphins 59.7% Denver Broncos 40.3%
Sun 12:00 New York Jets 34.5% Kansas City Chiefs 65.5%
Sun 12:00 Tennessee Titans 45.4% Houston Texans 54.6%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Chargers 82.3% Cleveland Browns 17.7%
Sun 3:25 Arizona Cardinals 25.9% Los Angeles Rams 74.1%
Sun 3:25 New Orleans Saints 59.6% Carolina Panthers 40.4%
Sun 3:25 Oakland Raiders 61.0% New York Giants 39.0%
Sun 7:30 Seattle Seahawks 28.6% Philadelphia Eagles 71.4%
Mon 7:30 Cincinnati Bengals 37.0% Pittsburgh Steelers 63.0%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (8-4) – The Seahawks host the Eagles in what should be a very entertaining Sunday night game. The race in both the NFC Wild Card race and the NFC West and the Seahawks really don’t want to drop a game. The Eagles have been red hot and I expect that to continue, especially with their defensive line matching up against Seattle’s offensive line. Eagles 27 Seahawks 17

Lock of the week (8-4) – The Chargers gave Cleveland their first win last year. I don’t think it will happen again. Chargers 31 Browns 17

Upset of the week (6-6) – Chiefs continue their spiral with a loss to the Jets. Jets 21 Chiefs 17

Accuracy

 

Overall W L T %
81+% 41 9 0 82.0%
61-80% 158 86 1 64.7%
51-60% 80 66 1 54.8%
          279           161               2 63.3%
Expected Right       292.9 4.7%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 10 3 0 76.9%
61-80% 63 29 0 68.5%
51-60% 38 9 0 80.9%
           111             41              – 73.0%
Expected Right      113.32 2.0%

Week 13 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: November 28, 2017 in NFL

Not much change in this week’s power rankings. Eagles, Patriots and Saints hold on to the top three spots and the Jaguars dropped from four down to seven. The Vikings and Rams round out the top five.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 76.8% 13.8 100.0% >99% 33.8% 27.8%                  1 0
2 New England Patriots 69.6% 12.5 99.4% >99% 39.9% 16.6%                  2 0
3 New Orleans Saints 68.9% 11.4 60.3% 95.3% 13.6% 7.2%                  3 0
4 Minnesota Vikings 68.0% 12.2 98.1% 98.8% 21.8% 13.8%                  5 1
5 Los Angeles Rams 65.4% 11.2 89.2% 94.3% 12.6% 6.6%                  6 1
6 Carolina Panthers 64.7% 10.9 37.1% 90.8% 10.0% 5.0%                  7 1
7 Jacksonville Jaguars 64.6% 10.7 84.0% 89.4% 12.5% 3.7%                  4 -3
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 60.3% 12.1 96.7% 98.4% 32.7% 12.7%                  8 0
9 Kansas City Chiefs 58.4% 9.4 78.7% 78.7% 4.1% <1%                  9 0
10 Atlanta Falcons 58.0% 9.3 2.6% 58.1% 2.6% 1.1%                11 1
11 Detroit Lions 57.3% 9.0 1.9% 49.2% 1.8% <1%                10 -1
12 Baltimore Ravens 55.9% 9.2 3.3% 56.1% 3.5% <1%                12 0
13 Los Angeles Chargers 55.6% 8.1 19.8% 26.9% 1.2% <1%                14 1
14 Washington Redskins 54.6% 8.1 0.0% 25.2% <1% <1%                13 -1
15 Seattle Seahawks 52.1% 9.2 10.8% 56.0% 2.5% <1%                16 1
16 Houston Texans 50.0% 6.7 0.1% 4.9% <1% <1%                17 1
17 Green Bay Packers 48.3% 7.3 0.0% 11.4% <1% <1%                18 1
18 Buffalo Bills 48.1% 8.6 0.6% 38.0% 2.0% <1%                21 3
19 Dallas Cowboys 47.9% 7.3 0.0% 11.1% <1% <1%                15 -4
20 Chicago Bears 42.4% 5.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                19 -1
21 Cincinnati Bengals 42.2% 6.9 0.0% 6.5% <1% <1%                22 1
22 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 42.2% 5.7 0.0% 1.0% <1% <1%                20 -2
23 Tennessee Titans 40.5% 9.2 15.9% 53.2% 3.6% <1%                23 0
24 Oakland Raiders 39.9% 6.8 1.5% 5.7% <1% <1%                24 0
25 New York Jets 37.8% 5.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                25 0
26 Miami Dolphins 36.7% 5.9 0.0% 1.4% <1% <1%                26 0
27 Arizona Cardinals 35.1% 6.9 0.0% 6.6% <1% <1%                28 1
28 New York Giants 34.1% 3.8 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                27 -1
29 Denver Broncos 32.3% 4.9 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 0
30 San Francisco 49ers 30.7% 2.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 0
31 Indianapolis Colts 26.8% 4.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 1
32 Cleveland Browns 24.8% 1.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 -1

Week 12 NFL Preview

Posted: November 23, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 11:30 Detroit Lions 46.3% Minnesota Vikings 53.7%
Thu 3:30 Dallas Cowboys 54.5% Los Angeles Chargers 45.5%
Thu 7:30 Washington Redskins 72.1% New York Giants 27.9%
Sun 12:00 Atlanta Falcons 66.9% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33.1%
Sun 12:00 Cincinnati Bengals 69.7% Cleveland Browns 30.3%
Sun 12:00 Indianapolis Colts 39.4% Tennessee Titans 60.6%
Sun 12:00 Kansas City Chiefs 71.8% Buffalo Bills 28.2%
Sun 12:00 New England Patriots 82.8% Miami Dolphins 17.2%
Sun 12:00 New York Jets 30.4% Carolina Panthers 69.6%
Sun 12:00 Philadelphia Eagles 80.9% Chicago Bears 19.1%
Sun 3:05 San Francisco 49ers 34.8% Seattle Seahawks 65.2%
Sun 3:25 Arizona Cardinals 21.3% Jacksonville Jaguars 78.7%
Sun 3:25 Los Angeles Rams 48.5% New Orleans Saints 51.5%
Sun 3:25 Oakland Raiders 63.1% Denver Broncos 36.9%
Sun 7:30 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.4% Green Bay Packers 31.6%
Mon 7:30 Baltimore Ravens 60.3% Houston Texans 39.7%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (7-4) – The first game of the week is probably the best game of the week. The Vikings travel to Detroit. The Lions are two games back of the Vikings in the NFC North and need a win to have a good chance at catching the Vikings. They won’t get it. Vikings 23 Lions 17

Lock of the week (7-4) – The Patriots are back to playing good football and the Dolphins are not. Patriots 27 Dolphins 13

Upset of the week (6-5) – Colts are bad. The Titans are bad. anything can happen. Colts 27 Titans 24

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 39 9 0 81.3%
61-80% 150 84 1 64.0%
51-60% 78 64 1 54.9%
          267           157               2 62.9%
Expected Right       282.2 5.4%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 8 3 0 72.7%
61-80% 55 27 0 67.1%
51-60% 36 9 0 80.0%
             99             39              – 71.7%
Expected Right      102.62 3.5%

Week 12 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: November 20, 2017 in NFL

Eagles move up to one after a dominant performance against the Cowboys on Sunday night. Patriots have mostly gotten rid of their earlier season struggles and check in at two with the Saint, Jaguars and Vikings rounding out the top five.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Philadelphia Eagles 74.3% 13.5 99.9% >99% 34.1% 25.5%                  2 1
2 New England Patriots 69.8% 12.4 99.7% >99% 34.5% 16.0%                  5 3
3 New Orleans Saints 69.5% 11.9 78.2% 97.3% 20.1% 11.6%                  1 -2
4 Jacksonville Jaguars 68.1% 11.6 95.6% 96.7% 23.3% 8.9%                  4 0
5 Minnesota Vikings 66.9% 11.7 89.6% 96.2% 18.1% 10.1%                  7 2
6 Los Angeles Rams 63.8% 10.8 86.8% 87.9% 9.9% 4.7%                  3 -3
7 Carolina Panthers 63.2% 10.5 20.4% 84.0% 8.3% 3.8%                  8 1
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 62.3% 11.9 96.7% 97.2% 26.9% 11.5%                10 2
9 Kansas City Chiefs 61.5% 10.3 95.8% 95.8% 8.9% 2.8%                  6 -3
10 Detroit Lions 58.8% 9.5 10.2% 62.8% 3.5% 1.4%                  9 -1
11 Atlanta Falcons 57.2% 9.0 1.4% 48.4% 2.2% <1%                12 1
12 Baltimore Ravens 55.1% 8.7 3.3% 43.5% 2.2% <1%                16 4
13 Washington Redskins 54.9% 7.8 0.0% 21.0% <1% <1%                13 0
14 Los Angeles Chargers 52.0% 7.4 3.8% 13.6% <1% <1%                19 5
15 Dallas Cowboys 51.5% 8.0 0.1% 25.9% <1% <1%                11 -4
16 Seattle Seahawks 50.1% 8.8 13.2% 43.9% 1.9% <1%                15 -1
17 Houston Texans 49.7% 7.0 0.1% 9.3% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Green Bay Packers 48.2% 7.6 0.2% 16.5% <1% <1%                14 -4
19 Chicago Bears 45.4% 5.7 0.0% 1.3% <1% <1%                20 1
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44.6% 6.2 0.0% 2.8% <1% <1%                24 4
21 Buffalo Bills 43.4% 7.6 0.3% 18.0% <1% <1%                18 -3
22 Cincinnati Bengals 41.0% 6.5 0.0% 4.7% <1% <1%                23 1
23 Tennessee Titans 40.3% 8.8 4.3% 42.7% 2.4% <1%                21 -2
24 Oakland Raiders 39.4% 6.4 0.5% 4.0% <1% <1%                22 -2
25 New York Jets 38.1% 5.9 0.0% 1.9% <1% <1%                25 0
26 Miami Dolphins 36.9% 6.1 0.0% 2.7% <1% <1%                26 0
27 New York Giants 36.5% 4.2 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 3
28 Arizona Cardinals 32.1% 6.0 0.0% 2.1% <1% <1%                27 -1
29 Denver Broncos 31.7% 5.2 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                28 -1
30 San Francisco 49ers 30.4% 2.7 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 -1
31 Cleveland Browns 27.0% 1.5 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 1
32 Indianapolis Colts 26.5% 4.8 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 -1

Week 11 NFL Preview

Posted: November 15, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Pittsburgh Steelers 69.8% Tennessee Titans 30.2%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 39.4% Detroit Lions 60.6%
Sun 12:00 Cleveland Browns 15.6% Jacksonville Jaguars 84.4%
Sun 12:00 Green Bay Packers 56.3% Baltimore Ravens 43.7%
Sun 12:00 Houston Texans 72.0% Arizona Cardinals 28.0%
Sun 12:00 Miami Dolphins 49.2% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50.8%
Sun 12:00 Minnesota Vikings 48.2% Los Angeles Rams 51.8%
Sun 12:00 New Orleans Saints 73.1% Washington Redskins 26.9%
Sun 12:00 New York Giants 21.5% Kansas City Chiefs 78.5%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Chargers 54.1% Buffalo Bills 45.9%
Sun 3:25 Denver Broncos 44.1% Cincinnati Bengals 55.9%
Sun 3:25 Oakland Raiders 26.9% New England Patriots 73.1%
Sun 7:30 Dallas Cowboys 40.2% Philadelphia Eagles 59.8%
Mon 7:30 Seattle Seahawks 51.1% Atlanta Falcons 48.9%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (6-4) – The Vikings will host the Rams in a very intriguing matchup between current division leaders in the NFC. Both teams are 7-2 and in prime playoff position but are in a very crowded NFC with nine teams with a legitimate chance at taking the six playoff spots. I like the Vikings winning this one at home, but expect it to be close. Vikings 27 Rams 23

Lock of the week (7-3) – Chiefs over the Giants. Chiefs 34 Giants 19

Upset of the week (6-4) – I think the Bears can pull an upset against the Lions at home. Bears 27 Lions 24

Accuracy

 

Overall W L T %
81+% 38 9 0 80.9%
61-80% 145 83 1 63.5%
51-60% 74 61 1 54.8%
          257           153               2 62.6%
Expected Right       273.3 5.9%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 7 3 0 70.0%
61-80% 50 26 0 65.8%
51-60% 32 9 0 78.0%
             89             38              – 70.1%
Expected Right        93.71 5.0%

Week 11 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: November 14, 2017 in NFL

Jaguars drop four spots after they struggled to defeat the Chargers. The Saints claim the number one spot after crushing the Bills. Eagles remain at second and Rams jump to three. The Patriots move into the top five.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 New Orleans Saints 71.9% 11.8 76.0% 96.2% 18.7% 11.5%                  5 4
2 Philadelphia Eagles 70.9% 12.8 98.1% >99% 27.9% 20.2%                  2 0
3 Los Angeles Rams 69.7% 11.6 81.2% 94.7% 16.7% 10.0%                  4 1
4 Jacksonville Jaguars 68.0% 11.4 89.6% 94.8% 21.0% 8.2%                  1 -3
5 New England Patriots 66.2% 12.0 97.4% 97.4% 28.6% 12.8%                  7 2
6 Kansas City Chiefs 66.1% 11.3 99.2% >99% 20.0% 7.7%                  3 -3
7 Minnesota Vikings 63.7% 11.0 79.4% 89.0% 11.8% 6.5%                  8 1
8 Carolina Panthers 62.9% 10.5 23.3% 83.9% 8.1% 4.0%                  9 1
9 Detroit Lions 60.1% 9.2 15.7% 56.0% 2.9% 1.2%                11 2
10 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.4% 11.5 97.0% 97.0% 22.4% 9.5%                10 0
11 Dallas Cowboys 57.2% 8.9 1.6% 47.0% 2.2% <1%                  6 -5
12 Atlanta Falcons 56.0% 8.4 0.7% 35.4% 1.4% <1%                17 5
13 Washington Redskins 53.4% 8.1 0.3% 28.6% <1% <1%                12 -1
14 Green Bay Packers 52.4% 8.5 4.9% 36.9% 1.5% <1%                18 4
15 Seattle Seahawks 52.1% 9.3 9.7% 57.9% 3.4% 1.5%                15 0
16 Baltimore Ravens 51.1% 8.0 3.0% 26.0% 1.2% <1%                16 0
17 Houston Texans 50.0% 6.8 0.1% 8.0% <1% <1%                14 -3
18 Buffalo Bills 47.8% 8.4 2.6% 34.1% 1.9% <1%                13 -5
19 Los Angeles Chargers 46.9% 6.6 0.3% 6.1% <1% <1%                20 1
20 Chicago Bears 44.5% 6.1 0.0% 3.2% <1% <1%                21 1
21 Tennessee Titans 43.6% 9.2 10.3% 53.2% 4.0% 1.2%                22 1
22 Oakland Raiders 42.0% 6.8 0.5% 8.3% <1% <1%                23 1
23 Cincinnati Bengals 41.8% 6.2 0.1% 3.7% <1% <1%                19 -4
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40.7% 5.5 0.0% 1.3% <1% <1%                28 4
25 New York Jets 38.3% 6.0 0.0% 2.0% <1% <1%                24 -1
26 Miami Dolphins 35.1% 6.2 0.0% 3.3% <1% <1%                25 -1
27 Arizona Cardinals 32.2% 6.2 9.1% 50.6% 4.4% 2.3%                29 2
28 Denver Broncos 31.7% 5.6 0.0% 1.7% <1% <1%                26 -2
29 San Francisco 49ers 30.8% 2.7 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 1
30 New York Giants 30.4% 3.0 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                27 -3
31 Indianapolis Colts 26.3% 4.8 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 1
32 Cleveland Browns 24.4% 1.6 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                31 -1

Week 10 NFL Preview

Posted: November 9, 2017 in NFL

Projections

Day and Time (CST) Home Team Home Team Win Probability Road Team Road Team Win Probability
Thu 7:25 Arizona Cardinals 31.8% Seattle Seahawks 68.2%
Sun 12:00 Buffalo Bills 40.2% New Orleans Saints 59.8%
Sun 12:00 Chicago Bears 50.4% Green Bay Packers 49.6%
Sun 12:00 Detroit Lions 81.8% Cleveland Browns 18.2%
Sun 12:00 Indianapolis Colts 20.6% Pittsburgh Steelers 79.4%
Sun 12:00 Jacksonville Jaguars 77.6% Los Angeles Chargers 22.4%
Sun 12:00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 46.6% New York Jets 53.4%
Sun 12:00 Tennessee Titans 53.0% Cincinnati Bengals 47.0%
Sun 12:00 Washington Redskins 47.8% Minnesota Vikings 52.2%
Sun 3:05 Los Angeles Rams 69.8% Houston Texans 30.2%
Sun 3:25 Atlanta Falcons 41.6% Dallas Cowboys 58.4%
Sun 3:25 San Francisco 49ers 48.9% New York Giants 51.1%
Sun 7:30 Denver Broncos 28.6% New England Patriots 71.4%
Mon 7:30 Carolina Panthers 74.9% Miami Dolphins 25.1%

Picks of the Week

Game of the week (6-3) – The Falcons will host the Zeke-less (maybe? idk, no one is really sure) Cowboys in a game that is crucial for both teams playoff hopes. Falcons really need a win if they want to keep contending for a playoff spot. I think Cowboys will be okay without Zeke and be able to win this game. Cowboys 27 Falcons 26

Lock of the week (6-3) – Lions over the Browns, too easy picking against the Browns. Lions 35 Browns 17

Upset of the week (6-3) – Bills play host to the Saints. I think both teams are good and I will take the home team Bills. Bills 27 Saints 24

Accuracy

Overall W L T %
81+% 37 9 0 80.4%
61-80% 139 83 1 62.6%
51-60% 71 57 1 55.4%
          247           149               2 62.3%
Expected Right       264.2 6.5%

 

2017 W L T %
81+% 6 3 0 66.7%
61-80% 44 26 0 62.9%
51-60% 29 9 0 76.3%
            79             38              – 67.5%
Expected Right       84.69 6.7%

Week 10 NFL Power Rankings

Posted: November 6, 2017 in NFL

The Jacksonville Jaguars overtake the Eagles and the Chiefs and move up to #1 overall. I repeat, the Jaguars are your #1 ranked team nine weeks into the season. Welcome to the 2017 NFL season where anything can happen.

Rank Team Name POWER Proj. Wins Win Div. Make Playoffs Make SB Win SB Prev Rank Dif
1 Jacksonville Jaguars 69.5% 11.3 91.0% 93.6% 23.2% 8.8%                  3 2
2 Philadelphia Eagles 68.8% 13.0 95.8% >99% 32.9% 25.8%                  2 0
3 Kansas City Chiefs 68.3% 11.3 99.1% >99% 23.2% 8.8%                  1 -2
4 Los Angeles Rams 67.1% 11.2 80.7% 91.4% 15.4% 9.3%                  6 2
5 New Orleans Saints 67.0% 11.2 67.9% 91.1% 15.3% 9.2%                  4 -1
6 Dallas Cowboys 62.9% 9.9 3.8% 69.7% 5.8% 2.9%                12 6
7 New England Patriots 62.9% 11.3 86.3% 91.7% 23.5% 9.5%                  5 -2
8 Minnesota Vikings 61.6% 10.5 77.2% 81.3% 9.7% 5.4%                  7 -1
9 Carolina Panthers 60.3% 10.3 31.6% 79.9% 8.0% 4.1%                  9 0
10 Pittsburgh Steelers 60.1% 10.8 90.8% 90.8% 17.8% 6.9%                  8 -2
11 Detroit Lions 55.9% 8.9 18.6% 47.2% 2.4% 1.0%                16 5
12 Washington Redskins 54.6% 8.6 0.3% 40.8% 2.0% <1%                18 6
13 Buffalo Bills 52.7% 9.1 13.4% 52.2% 4.8% 1.5%                10 -3
14 Houston Texans 51.9% 7.3 0.6% 14.6% <1% <1%                11 -3
15 Seattle Seahawks 51.6% 9.1 11.6% 51.4% 3.1% 1.4%                13 -2
16 Baltimore Ravens 51.6% 8.0 7.9% 27.2% 1.5% <1%                15 -1
17 Atlanta Falcons 49.7% 7.7 0.6% 22.3% <1% <1%                17 0
18 Green Bay Packers 48.8% 7.9 4.0% 24.3% <1% <1%                14 -4
19 Cincinnati Bengals 45.3% 6.9 1.2% 9.7% <1% <1%                19 0
20 Los Angeles Chargers 44.5% 6.5 0.3% 6.2% <1% <1%                20 0
21 Chicago Bears 44.2% 6.7 0.3% 8.0% <1% <1%                22 1
22 Tennessee Titans 43.3% 8.8 8.4% 43.9% 3.6% 1.0%                23 1
23 Oakland Raiders 42.3% 6.8 0.5% 7.7% <1% <1%                21 -2
24 New York Jets 41.0% 6.7 0.1% 6.7% <1% <1%                28 4
25 Miami Dolphins 38.4% 6.8 0.2% 8.8% <1% <1%                26 1
26 Denver Broncos 35.7% 6.1 0.1% 4.1% <1% <1%                24 -2
27 New York Giants 34.0% 3.7 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                25 -2
28 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33.2% 4.4 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                27 -1
29 Arizona Cardinals 28.9% 6.3 7.7% 41.1% 3.3% 1.7%                31 2
30 San Francisco 49ers 28.8% 2.1 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                29 -1
31 Cleveland Browns 25.7% 1.8 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                30 -1
32 Indianapolis Colts 24.2% 4.8 0.0% <1% <1% <1%                32 0